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Les cycles économiques ont-ils un effet asymétrique sur le chômage et la pauvreté ? Cas du Maroc

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  • Hamza Saoudi

Abstract

Ce papier évalue les effets asymétriques des cycles économiques sur le chômage et la pauvreté au Maroc, à travers un modèle VAR estimé sur des données trimestrielles allant de 2003 à 2012. Ce modèle inclut les composantes cycliques de quatre variables à savoir : l’output-gap, le salaire minimum réel, le taux de chômage et le taux de pauvreté. Afin de tester la robustesse des résultats, deux versions du modèle VAR ont été estimées, en utilisant les composantes cycliques calculées selon deux filtres statistiques, Hodrick-Prescott (1997) et Hamilton (2017).

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  • Hamza Saoudi, 2019. "Les cycles économiques ont-ils un effet asymétrique sur le chômage et la pauvreté ? Cas du Maroc," Policy notes & Policy briefs 1912, Policy Center for the New South.
    • Handle: RePEc:ocp:ppaper:rp19/01
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    References listed on IDEAS

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