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Classifying Exchange Rate Regimes by Regression Methods

  • Michael Bleaney
  • Mo Tian
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A new and easily implemented regression method is proposed for distinguishing floating from pegged regimes, whilst simultaneously identifying anchors of pegged currencies. The method can distinguish pegs with occasional devaluations from floats, and can be used to generate annual regime classifications. The method largely confirms the accuracy of the IMF’s de facto classification, but also shows that a significant minority of managed floats is close to being US dollar pegs. Even flexible managed floats have a strong tendency to track the US dollar.

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Paper provided by University of Nottingham, School of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 14/02.

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Date of creation: Apr 2014
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Handle: RePEc:not:notecp:14/02
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