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Mortgages and Financial Expectations: A Household Level Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Sarah Brown

  • Gaia Garino

  • Karl Taylor

Abstract

We contribute to the literature on household mortgage debt by exploring one particular influence on mortgage debt at the household level, namely the financial expectations of the individuals within the household. Our theoretical model predicts a positive association between the quantity of mortgage debt and optimistic financial expectations. Our empirical findings based on household level data provide convincing support for our theoretical priors in that optimistic financial expectations are positively associated with the level of outstanding mortgage debt.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarah Brown & Gaia Garino & Karl Taylor, 2005. "Mortgages and Financial Expectations: A Household Level Analysis," Discussion Papers in Economics 05/9, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, revised Dec 2006.
    • Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:05/9
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    File URL: https://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp05-9.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sarah Brown & Andrew Dickerson & Jolian McHardy & Karl Taylor, 2012. "Gambling and credit: an individual and household level analysis for the UK," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(35), pages 4639-4650, December.
    2. Brown, Sarah & Taylor, Karl, 2014. "Household finances and the ‘Big Five’ personality traits," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 197-212.
    3. Lim, Sung Soo & Bone, Matthew, 2022. "Optimism, debt accumulation, and business growth," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    4. Sarah Brown & Karl Taylor, 2008. "Expectations, Reservation Wages And Employment: Evidence From British Panel Data," Working Papers 2008007, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised May 2008.
    5. Weiou Wu & Apostolos Fasianos & Stephen Kinsella, 2015. "Differences in Borrowing Behaviour between Core and Peripheral Economies — Economic Environment versus Financial Perceptions," Working Papers 201516, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
    6. Eva Branten, 2022. "The role of risk attitudes and expectations in household borrowing: evidence from Estonia," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 22(2), pages 126-145.
    7. Brown, Sarah & Dickerson, Andy & McHardy, Jolian & Taylor, Karl, 2010. "Gambling and the Use of Credit: An Individual and Household Level Analysis," IZA Discussion Papers 4804, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Sarah Brown & Karl Taylor, "undated". "Reservation Wages, Expected wages and the duration of Unemployment: evidence from British Panel data," Working Papers 2009001, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
    9. Bucciol, Alessandro & Easaw, Joshy & Trucchi, Serena, 2025. "Household income expectations: The role of unexpected income changes and aggregate conditions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D18 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Protection
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making

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