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How does BREXIT affect production patterns of multinational enterprises?

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  • Oyamada, Kazuhiko

Abstract

This paper explores how the British exit (Brexit) from the European Union (EU) potentially affects the United Kingdom (UK) economy and the production patterns of multinational enterprises that choose the UK as either a destination market or a gateway to the EU market. Utilizing an extended version of the knowledge-capital model, simulation analysis reveals the following points: (1) Brexit will encourage firms in both the EU and the UK to change strategies to incorporate more horizontal-type affiliates so that Brexit will not reduce inward foreign direct investment (FDI) to the UK as long as the UK is attractive as a final market; and (2) In contrast, export-platforms serving the EU market owned by firms in non-EU countries will completely withdraw by the time Brexit is completed. To cover losses from the reduction in the number of export-platforms, efforts to enhance the attractiveness of the UK as a destination market would be a solution in the short-run, while seeking new economic partnership programs with both EU and non-EU countries will work in the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Oyamada, Kazuhiko, 2018. "How does BREXIT affect production patterns of multinational enterprises?," IDE Discussion Papers 690, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    • Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper690
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James R. Markusen, 2004. "Multinational Firms and the Theory of International Trade," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262633078, April.
    2. Karolina Ekholm & Rikard Forslid & James R. Markusen, 2021. "Export-Platform Foreign Direct Investment," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: BROADENING TRADE THEORY Incorporating Market Realities into Traditional Models, chapter 6, pages 111-130, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    4. David L. Carr & James R. Markusen & Keith E. Maskus, 2021. "Estimating The Knowledge-Capital Model of the Multinational Enterprise," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: BROADENING TRADE THEORY Incorporating Market Realities into Traditional Models, chapter 5, pages 95-110, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Kazuhiko Oyamada, 2019. "Is FTA/EPA effective for a developing country to attract FDI? The knowledge‐capital model revisited," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 759-784, March.
    6. Zhang, Kevin Honglin & Markusen, James R., 1999. "Vertical multinationals and host-country characteristics," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 233-252, August.
    7. Oyamada, Kazuhiko, 2017. "Production patterns of multinational enterprises: the knowledge-capital model revisited," IDE Discussion Papers 674, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    8. Tadashi Ito, 2013. "Export-Platform Foreign Direct Investment: Theory and Evidence," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 563-581, May.
    9. James R. Markusen, 1997. "Trade versus Investment Liberalization," NBER Working Papers 6231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Mihaela Simionescu, 2016. "The Impact of BREXIT on the Foreign Direct Investment in the United Kingdom," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2016-07, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Jul 2016.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrzej Cieślik & Oleg Gurshev & Sarhad Hamza, 2022. "Between the Eurozone crisis and the Brexit: the decade of British outward FDI into Europe," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1159-1192, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brexit; Foreign direct investment; Multinational enterprise; Export-platform; Knowledge-capital model; Great Britain; Europe; International business enterprises; Foreign investments;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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