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Transaction Costs and the Present Value Model of Farmland: Iowa, 1900-1994

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  • Lence, Sergio H.
  • Miller, Douglas

Abstract

The present study investigates whether the farmland "constant-discount-rate present-value-model (CDR-PVM) puzzle" is due to transaction costs. The theoretical implications of transaction costs for the CDR-PVM of farmland are discussed, and two bootstrap tests of such implications are introduced and applied to Iowa farmland prices and rents. Empirical results regarding the validity of the CDR-PVM in the presence of typical transaction costs are ambiguous. Econometric tests indicate that the CDR-PVM is consistent with typical transaction costs assuming a one-period holding horizon, but not when an infinite-holding horizon is hypothesized.

Suggested Citation

  • Lence, Sergio H. & Miller, Douglas, 1999. "Transaction Costs and the Present Value Model of Farmland: Iowa, 1900-1994," Staff General Research Papers Archive 1535, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:1535
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiaodong Du & David A. Hennessy & William M. Edwards, 2007. "Determinants of Iowa Cropland Cash Rental Rates: Testing Ricardian Rent Theory," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 07-wp454, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    2. Pavel Ciaian & d’Artis Kancs & Johan Swinnen, 2010. "EU Land Markets and the Common Agricultural Policy," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 53(3), pages 1-31.
    3. Mishra, Ashok K. & Moss, Charles B. & Erickson, Kenneth W., 2004. "Effect Of Debt Solvency On Farmland Values: A Panel Cointegration Approach," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20261, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Ashok Mishra & Charles Moss & Kenneth Erickson, 2004. "Valuing farmland with multiple quasi-fixed inputs," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(15), pages 1669-1675.
    5. Gutierrez, Luciano & Erickson, Kenneth W. & Westerlund, Joakim, 2005. "The Present Value Model, Farmland Prices and Structural Breaks," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24702, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Painter, Marvin J., 2003. "Efficient Investment in Saskatchewan Farmland," 14th Congress, Perth, Western Australia, August 10-15, 2003 24316, International Farm Management Association.
    7. Obi, Ajuruchukwu & van Schalkwyk, Herman D., 2006. "Recent Trends in Agricultural Land Prices in South Africa: A Preliminary Investigation Using Cointegration Analysis," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25234, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Titus O. Awokuse & Joshua M. Duke, 2006. "The Causal Structure of Land Price Determinants," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 54(2), pages 227-245, June.
    9. Painter, Marvin J., 2002. "Efficient Investment in Saskatchewan Farmland," 13th Congress, Wageningen, The Netherlands, July 7-12, 2002 6955, International Farm Management Association.
    10. Ana I. Sanjuán & Philip J. Dawson & Lionel J. Hubbard & Sawako Shigeto, 2009. "Rents and Land Prices in Japan: A Panel Cointegration Approach," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 85(4), pages 587-597.
    11. Gabriel Power & Calum Turvey, 2010. "US rural land value bubbles," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 649-656.
    12. Saak, Alexander E. & Hennessy, David A., 2001. "Location, Land Quality, And Rental Volatility," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20747, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    13. Onel, Gulcan, 2009. "Modeling Nonlinearities in Farmland Values: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Error-Correction Model," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49445, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Saguatti, Annachiara & Erickson, Kenneth & Gutierrez, Luciano, 2014. "Spatial panel models for the analysis of land prices," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182757, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Plogmann, Jana & Mußhoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2022. "Farmland sales under returns and price uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    16. Plogmann, Jana & Mußhoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2020. "What Moves the German Land Market? A Decomposition of the Land Rent-Price Ratio," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 69(1).
    17. Plogmann, Jana & Mußhoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Ritter, Matthias, 2022. "Farmland sales under returns and price uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    18. Patrick de Fontnouvelle & Sergio H. Lence, 2002. "Transaction Costs and the Present Value “Puzzle” of Farmland Prices," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(3), pages 549-565, January.
    19. Wilson, Norbert L.W. & Sumner, Daniel A., 2004. "Explaining Variations in the Price of Dairy Quota: Flow Returns, Liquidity, Quota Characteristics, and Policy Risk," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, April.
    20. B. James Deaton & Chad Lawley, 2022. "A survey of literature examining farmland prices: A Canadian focus," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 95-121, June.

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