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IMK Steuerschätzung 2013-2017

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  • Katja Rietzler
  • Dieter Teichmann
  • Achim Truger

Abstract

Nach der aktuellen IMK-Steuerschätzung für den Zeitraum 2013-2017 dürfte das Aufkommen in diesem Jahr nur noch um 2 % auf 612,2 Mrd. Euro zunehmen und damit erheblich langsamer steigen als in den vergangenen Jahren. Am Ende des Schätzzeitraums sind Steuereinnahmen von knapp 700 Mrd. Euro zu erwarten. Nach wie vor weisen die öffentlichen Haushalte eine gravierende strukturelle Einnahmenlücke auf. Mehrfache Steuersenkungen, nicht übermäßiges Ausgabenwachstum, sind die Ursache. An Steuererhöhungen führt daher mittelfristig kein Weg vorbei. Die Oppositionsparteien im Bundestag haben entsprechende Pläne für die kommende Legislaturperiode. Erhöhungen des Einkommensteuertarifs sind dabei ein wesentliches Element. Befürchtungen von höheren Belastungen für die Mittelschicht erweisen sich als unbegründet: Die Mehrbelastungen aller Vorschläge setzen erst bei hohen Bruttoeinkommen ein.

Suggested Citation

  • Katja Rietzler & Dieter Teichmann & Achim Truger, 2013. "IMK Steuerschätzung 2013-2017," IMK Report 81-2013, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:imk:report:81-2013
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    File URL: http://www.boeckler.de/pdf/p_imk_report_81_2013.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marcus Blumtritt & Kai Eicker-Wolf & Achim Truger, 2007. "Auswirkungen der (Wieder-) Einführung einer Vermögensteuer auf die hessischen Landesfinanzen," IMK Studies 07-2007, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    2. Corneo, Giacomo, 2005. "Steuern die Steuern Unternehmensentscheidungen?," Discussion Papers 2005/3, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    3. Achim Truger & Henner Will, 2012. "Gestaltungsanfällig und pro-zyklisch: Die deutsche Schuldenbremse in der Detailanalyse," IMK Working Paper 88-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    4. Anthony Barnes Atkinson, 2013. "Optimale Besteuerung und Spitzensteuersatz," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(1), pages 101-109.
    5. Stefan Bach & Giacomo Corneo & Viktor Steiner, 2013. "Effective Taxation of Top Incomes in Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 14(2), pages 115-137, May.
    6. Robert Wade, 2009. "From global imbalances to global reorganisations," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(4), pages 539-562, July.
    7. Achim Truger, 2010. "Schwerer Rückfall in alte Obsessionen – Zur aktuellen deutschen Finanzpolitik," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 7(1), pages 11-24.
    8. Thomas Piketty & Emmanuel Saez, 2006. "The Evolution of Top Incomes: A Historical and International Perspective," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(2), pages 200-205, May.
    9. Achim Truger, 2013. "Steuerpolitik im Dienste der Umverteilung: eine makroökonomische Ergänzung," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(1), pages 43-59.
    10. Achim Truger & Henner Will, 2013. "The German “debt brake”: a shining example for European fiscal policy?," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 153-188.
    11. Stefan Bach, 2013. "Kirchhof oder Hollande: wie hoch soll der Spitzensteuersatz in Deutschland sein?," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(1), pages 77-99.
    12. Petra Dünhaupt & Eckhard Hein & Till van Treeck, 2007. "Finanzsystem und wirtschaftliche Entwicklung: Tendenzen in den USA und in Deutschland aus makroökonomischer Perspektive," IMK Studies 05-2007, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Behrendt, 2014. "The Fiscal Compact and Current Account Patterns in Europe," Global Financial Markets Working Paper Series 2014-52, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    2. Eckhard Hein & Achim Truger, 2014. "Fiscal Policy and Rebalancing in the Euro Area: A Critique of the German Debt Brake from a Post-Keynesian Perspective," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 61(1), pages 21-38, Februar.
    3. Katja Rietzler & Dieter Teichmann & Achim Truger, 2012. "IMK-Steuerschätzung 2012-2016," IMK Report 76-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.

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