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Four Factor Model in Indian Equities Market

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  • Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar
  • Jacob, Joshy
  • Varma, Jayanth R.

Abstract

We compute the Fama-French and momentum factor returns for the Indian equity market for the October 1993 - December 2013 period using data from CMIE Prowess. We differ from the previous studies on this topic, in the Indian market, in several significant ways. First, we cover a greater number of firms relative to the existing studies. Second, we exclude illiquid firms to ensure that the portfolios are investible. Third, we have classified firms into small and big using more appropriate cut-off considering the distribution of firm size. Fourth, as there are several instances of vanishing of public companies in India, we have computed the returns with a correction for survival bias. During the period from January 1994 to December 2014, the average annual return of the momentum factor was 21.9%; the average annual return on the value portfolio (HML was 15.3%; that of the size factor (SMB) was 15.3%; that of the size factor (SMB) nearly 0%; and the the average annual excess return on the market factor (MRP) was 11.5%. This is a revised version of our earlier paper on this topic. The revision is carried out to primarily accommodate the data of firms which are retrospectively added to the prowess database by CMIE. The time series of daily, monthly and yearly returns of the factors and the underlying portfolios are made available at an online data library. The authors would update the library on a monthly basis.

Suggested Citation

  • Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar & Jacob, Joshy & Varma, Jayanth R., 2013. "Four Factor Model in Indian Equities Market," IIMA Working Papers WP2013-09-05, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:iim:iimawp:12130
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barua, Samir K. & Varma, Jayanth R., 2006. "A First Cut Estimate of the Equity Risk Premium in India," IIMA Working Papers WP2006-06-04, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    2. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
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    1. Sankar, Ganesh & Ramachandran, Shankar & Lukose P J, Jijo, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premium: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 321-334.
    2. Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla & Joshy Jacob & Jayanth R. Varma, 2017. "Size, Value, and Momentum in Indian Equities," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 42(4), pages 211-219, December.
    3. Avdhesh Kumar Shukla & Tara Shankar Shaw, 2023. "Long-run Stock Return of IPO Firms in India: Examining Investment and Profitability Hypothesis," Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers, , vol. 48(1), pages 21-38, March.
    4. Dharani, M. & Hassan, M. Kabir & Paltrinieri, Andrea, 2019. "Faith-based norms and portfolio performance: Evidence from India," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 79-89.
    5. Sonali Jain & Sobhesh Kumar Agarwalla & Jayanth R. Varma & Ajay Pandey, 2019. "Informed trading around earnings announcements—Spot, futures, or options?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 579-589, May.
    6. Harshita & Shveta Singh & Surendra S. Yadav, 2019. "Unique Calendar Effects in the Indian Stock Market: Evidence and Explanations," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 18(1_suppl), pages 35-58, April.
    7. Rahul Roy & Santhakumar Shijin, 2018. "Dissecting anomalies and dynamic human capital: The global evidence," Post-Print hal-01660135, HAL.
    8. Radeef Chundakkadan & Subash Sasidharan, 2021. "Central bank's money market operations and daily stock returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 136-152, January.
    9. Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar & Jacob, Joshy & Vasudevan, Ellapulli, 2013. "Market Timing Ability of Indian Firms in Open Market Repurchases," IIMA Working Papers WP2013-11-10, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    10. Jayanta Kumar Seal & Jasbir Singh Matharu, 2018. "Long-Term Performance of Buybacks in India," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(6), pages 1554-1566, December.
    11. Neupane, Biwesh & Thapa, Chandra & Marshall, Andrew & Neupane, Suman, 2021. "Mimicking insider trades," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Debnath, Pabitra & Dinda, Soumyananda, 2022. "Risk-return spectrum of investment for going green: Evidence from Indian equity market," MPRA Paper 121116, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2023.
    13. Ashita Agrawal & Pitabas Mohanty & Navindra Kumar Totala, 2019. "Does EVA Beat ROA and ROE in Explaining the Stock Returns in Indian Scenario? An Evidence Using Mixed Effects Panel Data Regression Model," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 44(2), pages 103-134, May.
    14. S. S. S. Kumar, 2018. "Sensex and Nifty Indices: Are They the Right Benchmarks for Mutual Funds in India?," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, June.
    15. Neharika Sobti, 2018. "Does Size, Value and Seasonal Effects Still Persist in Indian Equity Markets?," Vision, , vol. 22(1), pages 11-21, March.
    16. Bhaduri, Saumitra & Gupta, Saurabh, 2015. "Understanding Investor behavior and it's implications on Capital Markets - The Indian Context," MPRA Paper 67948, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar & Jacob, Joshy & Vasudevan, Ellapulli, 2015. "Market overreaction to poor long-run performance? A case of repurchase firms in India," IIMA Working Papers WP2015-02-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    18. Gatchev, Vladimir A. & Seth, Rama & Singh, Ajai & Vishwanatha, S.R., 2023. "Price bands and their effects on equity markets: Evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    19. Agarwalla, Sobhesh Kumar & Jacob, Joshy & Varma, Jayanth R. & Vasudevan, Ellapulli, 2014. "Betting Against Beta in the Indian Market," IIMA Working Papers WP2014-07-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    20. Prashant Sharma & Prashant Gupta & Anurag Singh, 2016. "Pricing Ability of Four Factor Model using Quantile Regression: Evidences from India," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1815-1826.
    21. Ender Demir & Ka Wai Terence Fung & Zhou Lu, 2016. "Capital Asset Pricing Model and Stochastic Volatility: A Case Study of India," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(1), pages 52-65, January.
    22. Geetu Aggarwal & Navdeep Aggarwal, 2021. "Risk-adjusted Returns from Statistical Arbitrage Opportunities in Indian Stock Futures Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(1), pages 79-99, March.
    23. Rajesh Pathak & Thanos Verousis & Yogesh Chauhan, 2017. "Information Content of Implicit Spot Prices Embedded in Single Stock Future Prices: Evidence from Indian Market," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 16(2), pages 169-187, August.
    24. Joshy Jacob & Pradeep K.P. & Jayanth R.Varma, 2022. "Performance of quality factor in Indian Equity Market," IIMA Working Papers WP 2022-11-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.

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