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Economic Cycle and Deceleration of Female Labor Force Participation in Latin America

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  • Serrano, Joaquín
  • Gasparini, Leonardo
  • Marchionni, Mariana
  • Gluzmann, Pablo

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the role of economic growth in the recent deceleration of female labor force participation (LFP) in Latin America. We study the relationship between the business cycle and female LFP by estimating fixed effects models, using data from harmonized national household surveys of 18 countries in the period 1987-2014. We find that female LFP follows a countercyclical pattern, especially for vulnerable women, which may be explained by the added-worker effect. The sudden and fast increase in economic growth in the 2000s is then a likely relevant factor behind the deceleration in female LFP. We also provide evidence that the increase in social protection is another factor associated with the deceleration of female labor supply in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Serrano, Joaquín & Gasparini, Leonardo & Marchionni, Mariana & Gluzmann, Pablo, 2018. "Economic Cycle and Deceleration of Female Labor Force Participation in Latin America," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8857, Inter-American Development Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:idb:brikps:8857
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0001076
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    Cited by:

    1. Verónica Serafini Geoghegan & Patricia Miranda & Daniela Berdeja & Rodolfo Bejarano & Jorge Luna, 2024. "An Approach to the Gender Bias of Fiscal Rules," Development, Palgrave Macmillan;Society for International Deveopment, vol. 67(3), pages 213-219, December.
    2. Maridueña-Larrea, Ángel & Martín-Román, Ángel, 2023. "The unemployment invariance hypothesis and the implications of added and discouraged worker effects in Latin America," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1224, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    3. Daniel Chiquiar & Aldo Heffner, 2024. "Efectos heterogéneos de la pandemia del COVID-19 sobre el empleo femenino y masculino en México/Heterogeneous effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on Mexico’s female and male employment," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 39(1), pages 3-59.
    4. Alice Evans, 2019. "How Cities Erode Gender Inequality: A New Theory and Evidence from Cambodia," CID Working Papers 356, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    5. Luis Monroy‐Gómez‐Franco & Paloma Villagómez‐Ornelas, 2024. "Stratification economics in the land of persistent inequalities," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 83(1), pages 157-175, January.
    6. Matías Ciaschi & Mariana Marchionni & Guido Neidhöfer, 2026. "Intergenerational mobility in Latin America: the multiple facets of social status and the role of mothers," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 39(1), pages 1-28, March.
    7. Matías Ciaschi & Guido Neidhöfer, 2024. "Job Loss and Household Labor Supply Adjustments in Developing Countries: Evidence from Argentina," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 38(3), pages 558-579.
    8. Diego Danny ONTANEDA JIMÉNEZ & Wilson Alejandro GUZMÁN ESPINOZA & Luis Rodrigo MENDIETA MUÑOZ & Monica RĂILEANU SZELES, 2022. "Cohort Analysis of Labor Participation and Sectoral Composition of Employment in Ecuador," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 67-87, October.
    9. Grace Armijos-Bravo & Segundo Camino-Mogro, 2023. "Covid-19 Lockdown in Ecuador: Are there Gender Differences in Unemployment?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(6), pages 833-853, June.
    10. Berniell, Inés & Gasparini, Leonardo & Marchionni, Mariana & Viollaz, Mariana, 2023. "Lucky women in unlucky cohorts," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    11. María del Pilar Toyos, 2022. "Cierre de escuelas en pandemia y brechas de género en Argentina: ¿madres más vulnerables?," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4603, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    12. Sanja Samirana Pattnayak & Alka Chadha & Suresh Kumar Patra, 2024. "Lockdowns and female labour force participation: the curious case of India," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(52), pages 6690-6704, November.
    13. Acevedo, Ivonne & Castellani, Francesca & Lotti, Giulia & Székely, Miguel, 2022. "Labor Market Gender Gaps in the Time of COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12568, Inter-American Development Bank.
    14. Pablo Gluzmann & Leopoldo Tornarolli & Cecilia Velázquez, 2025. "El Ciclo Económico: Una Pieza en el Rompecabezas de los Jóvenes que Ni Estudian Ni Trabajan en América Latina," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0357, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply

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