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The Negative Inflation-Growth Effect: Theory and Evidence

Author Info

  • Mark N. Harris

    (Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne and Economics Department, Central European University, Hungary)

  • Max Gillman

    (Economics Department, Central European University, Hungary)

  • László Mátyás

    (Economics Department, Central European University, Hungary)

Abstract

The paper presents a monetary model of endogenous growth and specifies an econometric model consistent with it. The economic model suggests a negative inflation-growth effect, and one that is stronger at lower levels of inflation. Empirical evaluation of the model is based on a large panel of OECD and APEC member countries over the years 1961-1997. The hypothesized negative inflation effect is found comprehensively for the OECD countries to be significant and, as in the theory, to increase marginally as the inflation rate falls. For APEC countries, the results from using instrumental variables also show significant evidence of a similar behavior.

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Paper provided by Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne in its series Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series with number wp2001n12.

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Length: 40 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2001
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iae:iaewps:wp2001n12
Contact details of provider: Postal: Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010 Australia
Phone: +61 3 8344 2100
Fax: +61 3 8344 2111
Web page: http://www.melbourneinstitute.com/Email:


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