Trading Volume and Autocorrelation: Empirical Evidence from the Stockholm Stock Exchange
This paper provides an extensive empirical investigation into the sources of index return autocorrelation, focusing on the relation between autocorrelation in individual stock returns and autocorrelation in index returns. The study uses daily data from the Stockholm Stock Exchange over the period 1980-1995 and reports three main empirical findings. Daily Swedish stock index returns exhibit strong, and consistently positive, first order autocorrelation throughout the sample period. Positive autocorrelation is observed for return frequencies between 1 day and 3 months. The most liquid stocks exhibit strong positive return autocorrelation. Less liquid stocks exhibit weak or negative return autocorrelation. Autocorrelation is asymmetric, high after days of above average performance of the stock market, low after days of below average performance. When compared to the other days of the week, both index returns and individual stock returns exhibit the strongest autocorrelation following on Friday returns. The transaction cost hypothesis was tested using the Swedish stock market transaction tax. Results indicate lower precision of stock prices during the transaction tax period, but no direct effect on return autocorrelation. The paper concludes that at least three sources contribute to observed return autocorrelation. For daily and short-term returns, profit taking and nonsynchronous trading are the probable causes of observed autocorrelation. For monthly and longer term returns, time-varying expected returns best describe the empirical results.
|Date of creation:||23 Sep 1997|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: The Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, 113 83 Stockholm, Sweden|
Phone: +46-(0)8-736 90 00
Fax: +46-(0)8-31 01 57
Web page: http://www.hhs.se/
More information through EDIRC
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- John Y. Campbell & Sanford J. Grossman & Jiang Wang, 1993.
"Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics,
Oxford University Press, vol. 108(4), pages 905-939.
- John Y. Campbell & Sanford J. Grossman & Jiang Wang, 1992. "Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 4193, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Wang, Jiang & Grossman, Sanford & Campbell, John, 1993. "Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns," Scholarly Articles 3128710, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Boudoukh, Jacob & Richardson, Matthew P & Whitelaw, Robert F, 1994. "A Tale of Three Schools: Insights on Autocorrelations of Short-Horizon Stock Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(3), pages 539-573.
- Berglund, Tom & Liljeblom, Eva, 1988. " Market Serial Correlation on a Small Security Market: A Note," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(5), pages 1265-1274, December.
- Atchison, Michael D & Butler, Kirt C & Simonds, Richard R, 1987. " Nonsynchronous Security Trading and Market Index Autocorrelation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 111-118, March.
- Anat R. Admati, Paul Pfleiderer, 1988. "A Theory of Intraday Patterns: Volume and Price Variability," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 3-40. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhs:hastef:0191. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Helena Lundin)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.