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La macroéconomie à l'épreuve des faits

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  • Jean-Luc Gaffard

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

L'objet de cet article est de proposer une lecture de l'évolution des faits et des idées économiques, dans la perspective de montrer que les vieilles idées resurgissent sous de nouveaux atours, au point d'en cacher les lacunes et de rendre les crises, non seulement, difficiles à prévoir, mais même à imaginer. Vouloir incriminer la seule finance et l'incapacité des économistes d'en cerner les véritables arcanes pour les expliquer ne saurait suffire, pas plus d'ailleurs que ne le saurait la tentative de construire une macroéconomie pour temps de crise différente de celle pour temps calmes. Les crises ne viennent pas de nulle part. Elles sont le fruit d'une longue maturation dont les clés sont difficilement perceptibles par temps calme, mais existent bel et bien.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Luc Gaffard, 2013. "La macroéconomie à l'épreuve des faits," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-00973033, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-00973033
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00973033
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    Keywords

    chômage; crise; depression; inflation;
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