IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/halshs-00068313.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Ranking Transport Projects by their Socioeconomic Value or Financial Interest Rate of Return?

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Bonnafous

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Pablo Jensen

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, LPMCN - Laboratoire de Physique de la Matière Condensée et Nanostructures - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Phys-ENS - Laboratoire de Physique de l'ENS Lyon - ENS de Lyon - École normale supérieure de Lyon - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper discusses the choice by the public authority of the most efficient programme of infrastructure investments. More specifically, it studies the optimal ranking of project implementation when these projects are partially self-financed by their own revenues such as tolled highways. In this case, the optimal investment programme must be defined under a constraint of annual subsidies. This paper demonstrates that the optimal ranking is not necessarily the ranking of decreasing socioeconomic IRR. This counter-intuitive result can be demonstrated by a general approach. Analytical calculations are not useful in this discrete problem because each programme is an ordered subset of projects. Therefore, there is no continuous variation linking the various programmes and the usual tools of optimization, such as differential calculus, are useless. Thus, we adopt here a discrete optimization analysis based on standard techniques in the physics area, such as Monte Carlo sampling.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Bonnafous & Pablo Jensen, 2005. "Ranking Transport Projects by their Socioeconomic Value or Financial Interest Rate of Return?," Post-Print halshs-00068313, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00068313
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2004.12.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alain Bonnafous, 2002. "Les infrastructures de transport et la logique financière du partenariat public-privé : quelques paradoxes," Revue Française d'Économie, Programme National Persée, vol. 17(1), pages 173-194.
    2. Paul H. Malatesta & Kathryn L. DeWenter, 2001. "State-Owned and Privately Owned Firms: An Empirical Analysis of Profitability, Leverage, and Labor Intensity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(1), pages 320-334, March.
    3. Alain Bonnafous, 1999. "Infrastructures publiques et financement privé : le paradoxe de la rentabilité financière," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 51(1), pages 157-166.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bonnafous, Alain, 2010. "Programming, optimal pricing and partnership contract for infrastructures in PPPs," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 15-22.
    2. Musso, Enrico & Ferrari, Claudio & Benacchio, Marco, 2006. "Port Investment: Profitability, Economic Impact and Financing," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 171-218, January.
    3. Mandic, Dragomir & Jovanovic, Predrag & Bugarinovic, Mirjana, 2014. "Two-phase model for multi-criteria project ranking: Serbian Railways case study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 88-104.
    4. Bonnafous, Alain, 2012. "The use of PPP's and the profitability rate paradox," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 45-49.
    5. William Roy, 2005. "Évaluation des programmes d'infrastructure : ordre optimal de réalisation sous contrainte financière," Post-Print halshs-00003971, HAL.
    6. Alain Bonnafous & Pablo Jensen & William Roy, 2006. "Le cofinancement usager - contribuable et le partenariat public-privé changent les termes de l'évaluation des programmes d'investissement public," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 15-30.
    7. Valentin Bertsch & Valeria Di Cosmo, 2018. "Are Renewables Profitable in 2030? A Comparison between Wind and Solar across Europe," Working Papers 2018.28, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    8. Mishra, Sabyasachee & Khasnabis, Snehamay & Dhingra, Sunder Lall, 2013. "A simulation approach for estimating value at risk in transportation infrastructure investment decisions," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 128-138.
    9. Bonnafous, Alain, 2015. "The economic regulation of French highways: Just how private did they become?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 33-41.
    10. Beria, Paolo & Grimaldi, Raffaele, 2014. "Cost Benefit Analysis to assess urban mobility plans. Consumers’ surplus calculation and integration with transport models," MPRA Paper 59590, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Alain Bonnafous & Bruno Faivre d'Arcier, 2013. "The conditions of efficiency of a PPP for public finances," Post-Print halshs-00876446, HAL.
    12. Bernard Lapeyre & Emile Quinet, 2017. "A Simple GDP-based Model for Public Investments at Risk," Post-Print hal-01666574, HAL.
    13. Acharya, Bikram & Lee, Jongsu & Moon, HyungBin, 2022. "Preference heterogeneity of local government for implementing ICT infrastructure and services through public-private partnership mechanism," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Lowry, Michael B., 2010. "Using optimization to program projects in the era of communicative rationality," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 94-101, March.
    15. Alain Bonnafous, 2006. "Financing future growth in infrastructure needs," Post-Print halshs-00339710, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alain Bonnafous & Bruno Faivre d'Arcier, 2013. "The conditions of efficiency of a PPP for public finances," Post-Print halshs-00876446, HAL.
    2. Alain Bonnafous, 2005. "Infrastructure Funding and Public-Private Partnerships," Post-Print halshs-00079768, HAL.
    3. Anastasios Michailidis & Efstratios Loizou & Georgios Theodosiou, 2006. "Socioeconomic Evaluation and Ranking of Infrastructure Projects," ERSA conference papers ersa06p395, European Regional Science Association.
    4. Alain Bonnafous & Pablo Jensen & William Roy, 2006. "Le cofinancement usager - contribuable et le partenariat public-privé changent les termes de l'évaluation des programmes d'investissement public," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 15-30.
    5. Bonnafous, Alain & Jensen, Pablo, 2005. "Ranking transport projects by their socioeconomic value or financial internal rate of return?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 131-136, March.
    6. Bonnafous, Alain, 2012. "The use of PPP's and the profitability rate paradox," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 45-49.
    7. Haikun Zhu, 2018. "Social Stability and Resource Allocation within Business Groups," Working Papers Series 79, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    8. Bozec, Richard, 2004. "L’analyse comparative de la performance entre les entreprises publiques et les entreprises privées : le problème de mesure et son impact sur les résultats," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 80(4), pages 619-654, Décembre.
    9. Carlo Cambini & Yossi Spiegel, 2016. "Investment and Capital Structure of Partially Private Regulated Firms," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 487-515, April.
    10. Lu, Susan Feng & Dranove, David, 2013. "Profiting from gaizhi: Management buyouts during China’s privatization," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 634-650.
    11. Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés & Zhang, Min, 2020. "The cost of weak institutions for innovation in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    12. Ang, James & Knill, April & Mauck, Nathan, 2017. "Cross-border opportunity sets: An international empirical study based on ownership types," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-26.
    13. Bortolotti, Bernardo & Fantini, Marcella & Siniscalco, Domenico, 2004. "Privatisation around the world: evidence from panel data," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1-2), pages 305-332, January.
    14. Gan, Tian & Jiang, Yan & Wu, Xi & Zhang, Mingxin, 2023. "Oil price uncertainty and the cost of debt: Evidence from the Chinese bond market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    15. Li, Larry & McMurray, Adela & Sy, Malick & Xue, Jinjun, 2018. "Corporate ownership, efficiency and performance under state capitalism: Evidence from China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 747-766.
    16. Laixun Zhao, 2019. "Through trade wars, East Asians finally learning to cooperate with each other?," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 231-244, May.
    17. O'Toole, Conor M. & Morgenroth, Edgar L.W. & Ha, Thuy T., 2016. "Investment efficiency, state-owned enterprises and privatisation: Evidence from Viet Nam in Transition," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 93-108.
    18. Xinyu Zhang & Mufei Shen & Yupeng Luan & Weijia Cui & Xueqin Lin, 2022. "Spatial Evolutionary Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Urban Industrial Carbon Emission in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-21, September.
    19. Chang, Roberto & Hevia, Constantino & Loayza, Norman, 2018. "Privatization And Nationalization Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 331-361, March.
    20. Nelly Exbrayat & Thierry Madiès & Stéphane Riou, 2020. "A Simple Model of Corporate Bailouts in a Globalized Economy," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(4), pages 1575-1605, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00068313. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.