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Asymmetric adjustments in the Thai palm oil market

Author

Listed:
  • Patchaya Songsiengchai

    (Nakhon Ratchasima Rajabhat University)

  • Shaufique Fahmi Ahmad Sidique

    (UPM - Universiti Putra Malaysia = Universiti Pertanian Malaysia)

  • Marcel Djama

    (UMR MOISA - Marchés, Organisations, Institutions et Stratégies d'Acteurs - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - CIHEAM-IAMM - Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier - CIHEAM - Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Montpellier SupAgro - Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • W.N.W. Azman-Saini

    (UPM - Universiti Putra Malaysia = Universiti Pertanian Malaysia)

Abstract

Drastic movements of global commodity prices and their impact on the Thai palm oil market is a major concern due to Thailand being the third largest producer of crude palm oil (CPO). Although the country is not a net importer, global price changes of the commodity can transmit to domestic markets for palm oil products. This paper analyzed the transmission of Malaysian CPO and world crude oil price changes to the changes in the Thai CPO price using an asymmetric error correction model. The price data used in this paper covers the period from January 1996 to September 2015. The findings showed that the speed of adjustments towards long-run equilibrium were asymmetric and the effects of the world prices on Thai CPO price were significant in both positive and negative deviations. This result calls for policy measures to mitigate the impact of global price movements because CPO is an essential intermediate input in various products and any changes in the Thai CPO price definitely affects the welfare of domestic consumers.

Suggested Citation

  • Patchaya Songsiengchai & Shaufique Fahmi Ahmad Sidique & Marcel Djama & W.N.W. Azman-Saini, 2020. "Asymmetric adjustments in the Thai palm oil market," Post-Print hal-05173609, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05173609
    DOI: 10.1016/j.kjss.2018.05.018
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05173609v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Awudu Abdulai, 2002. "Using threshold cointegration to estimate asymmetric price transmission in the Swiss pork market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6), pages 679-687.
    2. Walter Enders & Selahattin Dibooglu, 2001. "Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity with Asymmetric Adjustment," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(2), pages 433-445, October.
    3. Enders, Walter & Siklos, Pierre L, 2001. "Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(2), pages 166-176, April.
    4. Walter Enders & Selahattin Dibooglu, 2001. "Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity with Asymmetric Adjustment," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 68(2), pages 433-445, October.
    5. Walter Enders & Selahattin Dibooglu, 2001. "Long‐Run Purchasing Power Parity with Asymmetric Adjustment," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(2), pages 433-445, October.
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