IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-04434030.html

The decline in private manufacturing employment in Tunisia: analysis of the Tunisian littoral over the post-revolution period (2011-2016)
[Le recul de l'emploi manufacturier privé en Tunisie: analyse de la région du littoral sur la période post-révolution (2011-2016)]

Author

Listed:
  • Nejib Chagour

    (ECSTRA - Laboratoire d'économie et stratégies des affaires (Carthage, Tunisie) - IHEC - Institut des hautes études commerciales (Carthage, Tunisie) - UCAR - Université de Carthage (Tunisie) = University of Carthage)

  • Samia Haddad

    (ECSTRA - Laboratoire d'économie et stratégies des affaires (Carthage, Tunisie) - IHEC - Institut des hautes études commerciales (Carthage, Tunisie) - UCAR - Université de Carthage (Tunisie) = University of Carthage)

  • Sébastien Bourdin

    (Métis Lab EM Normandie - EM Normandie - École de Management de Normandie = EM Normandie Business School)

Abstract

The objective of the article is to analyze the new stylized facts related to the Tunisian revolution (loss of competitiveness, deindustrialization and reallocation of employment between sectors) which affected private manufacturing industries, more particularly those located in the coastal region. Based on the regional growth model, we identify the determinants of the (decrease) increase of manufacturing employment in the Tunisian coastal region using an unbalanced panel of 14 sectors spread over 150 delegations of 12 coastal governorates. The results show that industrial specialization, the initial size of establishments, the initial size of delegations, the average salary, the proportion of the population aged 10 years and over with a primary level have a negative effect on employment growth. In contrast, industrial diversity is a factor in employment growth. A delegation endowed with a qualified workforce stimulates its growth. The results also show that a phenomenon of job reallocation determines the growth of sectors. Finally, a process of regional convergence was recorded in the delegations of the Center-East as well as a remarkable effect of the decentralization policies on the growth of the delegations of the governorate of Zaghouan and Manouba. \textcopyright 2023 Universite des Sciences et Technologiques de Lille. All rights reserved.

Suggested Citation

  • Nejib Chagour & Samia Haddad & Sébastien Bourdin, 2023. "The decline in private manufacturing employment in Tunisia: analysis of the Tunisian littoral over the post-revolution period (2011-2016) [Le recul de l'emploi manufacturier privé en Tunisie: analyse de la région du littoral sur la période post-ré," Post-Print hal-04434030, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04434030
    DOI: 10.4000/tem.10729
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://normandie-univ.hal.science/hal-04434030v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://normandie-univ.hal.science/hal-04434030v1/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.4000/tem.10729?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. McMillan, Margaret & Rodrik, Dani & Verduzco-Gallo, Íñigo, 2014. "Globalization, Structural Change, and Productivity Growth, with an Update on Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 11-32.
    2. Joshua Drucker, 2011. "Regional Industrial Structure Concentration in the United States: Trends and Implications," Economic Geography, Clark University, vol. 87(4), pages 421-452, October.
    3. Francisco J. Buera & Joseph P. Kaboski, 2009. "Can Traditional Theories of Structural Change Fit The Data?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(2-3), pages 469-477, 04-05.
    4. Joshua Drucker, 2011. "Regional Industrial Structure Concentration in the United States: Trends and Implications," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 87(4), pages 421-452, October.
    5. Henderson, Vernon & Kuncoro, Ari & Turner, Matt, 1995. "Industrial Development in Cities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(5), pages 1067-1090, October.
    6. Grace Carolina Guevara-Rosero & Stéphane Riou & Corinne Autant-Bernard, 2019. "Agglomeration externalities in Ecuador: do urbanization and tertiarization matter?," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(5), pages 706-719, May.
    7. Gintarė Morkutė & Sierdjan Koster & Jouke Van Dijk, 2017. "Employment growth and inter-industry job reallocation: spatial patterns and relatedness," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(6), pages 958-971, June.
    8. Jordi Jofre-Monseny & Maria Sánchez-Vidal & Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal, 2018. "Big plant closures and local employment," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 163-186.
    9. Blanchard, Olivier & Wolfers, Justin, 2000. "The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(462), pages 1-33, March.
    10. Dale W. Jorgenson & Marcel P. Timmer, 2011. "Structural Change in Advanced Nations: A New Set of Stylised Facts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 113(1), pages 1-29, March.
    11. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    12. Joshua Drucker, 2015. "An Evaluation of Competitive Industrial Structure and Regional Manufacturing Employment Change," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(9), pages 1481-1496, September.
    13. Cécile BATISSE, 2002. "Structure industrielle et croissance locale en République Populaire de Chine," Working Papers 200206, CERDI.
    14. El-hadj M. Bah, 2011. "Structural Transformation Paths Across Countries," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 5-19, May.
    15. Cécile BATISSE, 2002. "Structure Industrielle Et Croissance Locale En Republique Populaire De Chine," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 16, pages 85-93.
    16. Batisse, Cecile, 2002. "Dynamic externalities and local growth: A panel data analysis applied to Chinese provinces," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(2-3), pages 231-251.
    17. Stephen Nickell & Stephen Redding & Joanna Swaffield, 2008. "The Uneven Pace of Deindustrialisation in the OECD," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(9), pages 1154-1184, September.
    18. David Card & Francis Kramarz & Thomas Lemieux, 1999. "Changes in the Relative Structure of Wages and Employment: A Comparison of the United States, Canada, and France," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 32(4), pages 843-877, August.
    19. Jasper Jacob van Dijk, 2017. "Local employment multipliers in U.S. cities," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(2), pages 465-487.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alistair Dieppe, 2021. "Global Productivity," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 34015, April.
    2. Ajit K. Ghose, 2021. "Structural Change and Development in India," Indian Journal of Human Development, , vol. 15(1), pages 7-29, April.
    3. Andre Lorentz & Tommaso Ciarli & Maria Savona & Marco Valente, 2019. "Structural Transformations and Cumulative Causation: Towards an Evolutionary Micro-foundation of the Kaldorian Growth Model," Working Papers of BETA 2019-15, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    4. Armando J. Garcia Pires & José Pedro Pontes, 2021. "(De)Industrialization, Technology and Transportation," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 527-538, July.
    5. Khaled Thabet, 2015. "Industrial structure and total factor productivity: the Tunisian manufacturing sector between 1998 and 2004," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 54(2), pages 639-662, March.
    6. Diao, Xinshen & McMillan, Margaret, 2018. "Toward an Understanding of Economic Growth in Africa: A Reinterpretation of the Lewis Model," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 511-522.
    7. SAHIBI, Youness & HAMZAOUI, Moustapha, 2017. "Spatial Inequality of Growth between Morocco Regions," MPRA Paper 84564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. repec:cam:camjip:2410 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Beaudry, Catherine & Schiffauerova, Andrea, 2009. "Who's right, Marshall or Jacobs? The localization versus urbanization debate," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 318-337, March.
    10. Yazgan, Sekip & Marangoz, Cumali & Bulut, Emre, 2022. "The turning point of regional deindustrialization in the U.S.: Evidence from panel and time-series data," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 294-304.
    11. Mungase, Sachin & Nikam, Supriya & Kothe, Satyanarayan, 2024. "Structural Change and Labour Productivity in BRICS," MPRA Paper 121607, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Ali Sen, 2024. "Structural Change at a Disaggregated Level: Sectoral Heterogeneity Matters," Working Papers 048, The Productivity Institute.
    13. James Bessen, 2018. "Artificial Intelligence and Jobs: The Role of Demand," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, pages 291-307, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Nabil Rizky Ryandiansyah & Iwan Jaya Azis, 2018. "Structural Change, Productivity, and the Shift to Services: The Case of Indonesia," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 64, pages 97-110, Desember.
    15. Gisela Di Meglio & Jorge Gallego & Andrés Maroto & Maria Savona, 2015. "Services in Developing Economies: A new chance for catching-up?," SPRU Working Paper Series 2015-32, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    16. Di Meglio, Gisela & Gallego, Jorge, 2022. "Disentangling services in developing regions: A test of Kaldor's first and second laws," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 221-229.
    17. DRIDI, Manel, 2015. "Dynamic Externalities and Regional Development: The case of Tunisia," MPRA Paper 66988, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Amanina Abdur Rahman & Achim Schmillen, 2023. "From Farms to Factories and Firms—Structural Transformation and Labor Productivity Growth in Malaysia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 22(1), pages 82-111, Winter/Sp.
    19. Saheum Hong & Yu Xiao, 2016. "The Influence of Multiple Specializations on Economic Performance in U.S. Metropolitan Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, September.
    20. Wang, Cong & Lu, Yifan, 2020. "Can economic structural change and transition explain cross-country differences in innovative activity?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    21. Alessandro Nuvolari & Emanuele Russo, 2019. "Technical progress and structural change: a long-term view," LEM Papers Series 2019/17, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04434030. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.