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Is China a source of financial contagion?

Author

Listed:
  • Md Akhtaruzzaman

    (ACU - Australian Catholic University)

  • Waleed Abdel-Qader

    (ACU - Australian Catholic University)

  • Helmi Hammami

    (Rennes SB - Rennes School of Business)

  • Syed Shams

    (USQ - University of Southern Queensland)

Abstract

The study examines the role China plays compared with the US in transmitting contagion to South Asia. Trade intensity, economic downturns, and negative net equity capital outflows positively influence dynamic conditional correlations between South Asian and US/Chinese financial stock returns. Chinese and US financial firms transmitted more spillovers than they received during the global financial crisis. Results are robust to the use of USD or local currency returns, and the alternative specification of the Diebold–Yilmaz model. The role of Chinese financial firms in transmitting shocks to South Asia may be of interest to policymakers, regulators, and other market participants.

Suggested Citation

  • Md Akhtaruzzaman & Waleed Abdel-Qader & Helmi Hammami & Syed Shams, 2021. "Is China a source of financial contagion?," Post-Print hal-03329091, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03329091
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.101393
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    Cited by:

    1. Dammak, Wael & Frikha, Wajdi & Souissi, Mohamed Naceur, 2024. "Market turbulence and investor decision-making in currency option market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    2. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Boubaker, Sabri & Lucey, Brian M. & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    3. Gao, Yang & Li, Yangyang & Zhao, Chengjie & Wang, Yaojun, 2022. "Risk spillover analysis across worldwide ESG stock markets: New evidence from the frequency-domain," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    4. Muneer Shaik & Mohd Ziaur Rehman, 2023. "The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness of Major Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Stock Indices: Evidence Based on DCC-GARCH Model," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 231-246, March.
    5. Dammak, Wael & Boutouria, Nahla & Ben Hamad, Salah & de Peretti, Christian, 2023. "Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    6. Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Caliskan Terzioglu, Hande & Kilic, Yunus & Bugan, Mehmet Fatih & Dibooglu, Sel, 2024. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk: Evidence from global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Henryk Gurgul & Robert Syrek, 2023. "Contagion between selected European indexes during the Covid-19 pandemic," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(1), pages 47-59.
    8. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar, 2021. "Futures market and the contagion effect of COVID-19 syndrome," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    9. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    10. Tao, Miaomiao & Lin, Boqiang & Poletti, Stephen & Roubaud, David, 2025. "Greener pastures, steadier returns: ESG ratings and idiosyncratic risk management," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    11. Rim El Khoury & Muneer M. Alshater & Onur Polat, 2025. "Japanese stock market sectoral dynamics: A time and frequency analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 1249-1274, April.
    12. Bazán-Palomino, Walter & Winkelried, Diego, 2025. "Dynamic financial connectedness among the US, China, and countries of the Belt and Road Initiative," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    13. Nathan Burks & Adetokunbo Fadahunsi & Ann Marie Hibbert, 2021. "Financial Contagion: A Tale of Three Bubbles," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, May.
    14. Md Akhtaruzzaman & Ramzi Benkraiem & Sabri Boubaker & Constantin Zopounidis, 2022. "COVID‐19 crisis and risk spillovers to developing economies: Evidence from Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), pages 898-918, May.
    15. Zorgati, Imen & Garfatta, Riadh, 2021. "Spatial financial contagion during the COVID-19 outbreak: Local correlation approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    16. El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M. & Li, Yanshuang & Xiong, Xiong, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness among G7 stock markets and clean energy markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 71-90.
    17. Arfaoui, Mongi & Chkili, Walid & Ben Rejeb, Aymen, 2022. "Asymmetric and dynamic links in GCC Sukuk-stocks: Implications for portfolio management before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    18. Aljohani, Bader M. & Fadul, Abubaker & Asiri, Maram S. & Alkhathami, Abdulrahman D. & Hasan, Fakhrul, 2024. "Volatility transmission in the property market during two inflationary periods: The 2008–2009 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    19. Nammouri, Hela & Chlibi, Souhir & Labidi, Oussama, 2022. "Co-movements in sector price indexes during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    20. Ahmed, Shamima & Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & James, Wendy & Moussa, Faten, 2024. "Is the Evergrande crisis spilling beyond China?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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