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Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Wael Dammak

    (LSAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon, UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

  • Nahla Boutouria
  • Salah Ben Hamad

    (جامعة صفاقس - Université de Sfax - University of Sfax)

  • Christian de Peretti

    (ECL - École Centrale de Lyon - Université de Lyon, LSAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

Abstract

This study investigates the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on investor behavior in the currency options market, emphasizing its relationship with underlying exchange rates. Using a sample of daily data from select futures continuous calls from September 22, 2016, to December 31, 2021, we introduce a novel variable, "market imperfections," to quantify the gap between observed and theoretical currency option prices based on the Garman and Kohlhagen model. Through the application of a Markov switching model, we identify pandemic-related changes in investor behavior, characterized by patterns of divergence and convergence. Our research distinguishes between two key behavioral types in the market: fundamentalists and chartists. This study enriches the literature by clarifying how crises, specifically the COVID-19 period, influence investor dynamics and affect market responses. Overall, we provide critical insights into the factors shaping behavior during challenging periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Wael Dammak & Nahla Boutouria & Salah Ben Hamad & Christian de Peretti, 2023. "Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic," Post-Print hal-04875460, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04875460
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2023.e00337
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    Cited by:

    1. Dammak, Wael & Frikha, Wajdi & Souissi, Mohamed Naceur, 2024. "Market turbulence and investor decision-making in currency option market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    2. Lulaj Enkeleda, 2025. "Discerning Financial and Investment Epiphanies: Challenges, Inhibitions, and Global Perspectives - What Secrets Does Research Reveal?," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 35(3), pages 1-38.
    3. Wael DAMMAK, 2024. "Assessing Effect of Market Sentiment on Pricing of European Currency Options ‎," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(6), pages 1224-1244, June.
    4. Mellouli Dhoha & Wael Dammak & Hind Alnafisah & Ahmed Jeribi, 2024. "Dynamic spillovers between natural gas and BRICS stock markets during health and political crises," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(2), pages 453-485, June.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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