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A cost effective solution to reduce disaster losses in developing countries: hydro-meteorological services, early warning, and evacuation

Author

Listed:
  • Stéphane Hallegatte

    (CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CNRM - Centre national de recherches météorologiques - INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - Météo-France)

Abstract

Using Europe as an example, this study evaluates the potential for developing countries to benefit from upgrading to developed-country standards their own hydro-meteorological information production and early warning capacity. It takes into account the developing countries population, but also their increased hazard risk due to climate and geography, as well as their increased exposure to weather due to the state of infrastructure. The paper starts by investigating benefits from early warning systems in Europe, in terms of saved lives and reduced disaster asset losses. It then uses this evaluation to estimate the potential benefits of providing similar services in developing countries. Section 2 then assesses the other economic benefits that could be derived from the same hydro-meteorological information that is needed for early warning. These benefits are linked to a better optimization of economic production, and can be estimated in Europe to serve as the basis for an estimate for developing countries. Section 3 assesses the cost of providing this information, and Section 4 concludes with a cost-benefit analysis of doing so.

Suggested Citation

  • Stéphane Hallegatte, 2012. "A cost effective solution to reduce disaster losses in developing countries: hydro-meteorological services, early warning, and evacuation," Post-Print hal-00802045, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00802045
    DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-6058
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://enpc.hal.science/hal-00802045v1
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    Cited by:

    1. van Bergeijk, P.A.G. & Lazzaroni, S., 2013. "Macroeconomics of natural disasters," ISS Working Papers - General Series 50075, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    2. Paul Watkiss & Federica Cimato, 2016. "The economics of adaptation and climate-resilient development: lessons from projects for key adaptation challenges," GRI Working Papers 235, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    3. Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler & JoAnne Linnerooth-Bayer & Junko Mochizuki, 2019. "Flood Proofing Low-Income Houses in India: an Application of Climate-Sensitive Probabilistic Benefit-Cost Analysis," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 23-38, April.
    4. Anni Arumsari Fitriany & Piotr J. Flatau & Khoirunurrofik Khoirunurrofik & Nelly Florida Riama, 2021. "Assessment on the Use of Meteorological and Social Media Information for Forest Fire Detection and Prediction in Riau, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-13, October.
    5. John Douglas & Alireza Azarbakht, 2021. "Cost–benefit analyses to assess the potential of Operational Earthquake Forecasting prior to a mainshock in Europe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(1), pages 293-311, January.
    6. Albuquerque Sant'Anna, André, 2018. "Not So Natural: Unequal Effects of Public Policies on the Occurrence of Disasters," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 273-281.
    7. Vorisek,Dana Lauren & Yu,Shu, 2020. "Understanding the Cost of Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9164, The World Bank.
    8. Jean-Marc Montaud, 2019. "Agricultural Drought Impacts on Crops Sector and Adaptation Options in Mali: a Macroeconomic Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working papers of CATT hal-02141050, HAL.
    9. Fekadu Fufa Feyessa & Seifu Kebede Debela, 2022. "Rainfall-Runoff Modeling And Its Prioritization At Sub-Watershed Level Using Swat Model: A Case Of Finca’Aa, Oromia, Western Ethiopia," Water Conservation & Management (WCM), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 6(1), pages 22-29, February.
    10. Global Commission on Adaptation, 2019. "Adapt Now," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 32362, April.
    11. Ramón Elía, 2022. "The false alarm/surprise trade-off in weather warnings systems: an expected utility theory perspective," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 450-461, September.
    12. Stéphane Hallegatte, 2012. "An exploration of the link between development, economic growth, and natural risk," Post-Print hal-00802047, HAL.
    13. Hallegatte, Stephane, 2014. "Economic resilience: definition and measurement," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6852, The World Bank.
    14. Jean-Marc MONTAUD, 2019. "Agricultural Drought Impacts on Crops Sector and Adaptation Options in Mali: a Macroeconomic Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers 2018-2019_5, CATT - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour, revised Feb 2019.
    15. World Bank, 2013. "Building Resilience : Integrating Climate and Disaster Risk into Development [Crear resiliencia mediante la integración de los riesgos climáticos y de desastre en el proceso de desarrollo - Resumen," World Bank Publications - Reports 16639, The World Bank Group.
    16. Jean-Marc Montaud, 2019. "Agricultural Drought Impacts on Crops Sector and Adaptation Options in Mali: a Macroeconomic Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers hal-02141050, HAL.
    17. Kull,Daniel Werner & Graessle,Corinne & Aryan,Barzin, 2016. "Strengthening national hydrometeorological services through cascading forecasting : investing for sustainability and impact across global, regional, and national centers," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7609, The World Bank.
    18. Hallegatte,Stephane & Bangalore,Mook & Jouanjean,Marie Agnes, 2016. "Higher losses and slower development in the absence of disaster risk management investments," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7632, The World Bank.
    19. repec:wbk:wboper:16761 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Kheyruri, Yusef & Sharafati, Ahmad & Neshat, Aminreza, 2023. "The socioeconomic impact of severe droughts on agricultural lands over different provinces of Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).

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