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On the cost of misperception: general results and behavioural applications

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  • Gossner, Olivier
  • Steiner, Jakub

Abstract

In a choice model, we characterize the loss induced by misperceptions of payoff-relevant parameters across a distribution of decision problems. When the agent cannot avoid misperceptions but has some control over the distribution of errors, we show that strategies that minimize loss from misperception exhibit systematic biases, akin to some documented in the behavioural and psychological literatures. We include illusion of control, order effect, overprecision, and overweighting of small probabilities as illustrative examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Gossner, Olivier & Steiner, Jakub, 2018. "On the cost of misperception: general results and behavioural applications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89837, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:89837
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    2. Khan, Abhimanyu, 2022. "Expected utility versus cumulative prospect theory in an evolutionary model of bargaining," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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