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Clients’ connections: measuring the role of private information in decentralized markets

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  • Kondor, Peter
  • Pinter, Gabor

Abstract

We propose a new measure of private information in decentralized markets—connections—which exploits the time variation in the number of dealers with whom a client trades in a time period. Using trade-level data for the U.K. government bond market, we show that clients perform better when having more connections as their trades predict future price movements. Time variation in market-wide connections also helps explain yield dynamics. Given our novel measure, we present two applications suggesting that (i) dealers pass on information, acquired from their informed clients, to their affiliates, and (ii) informed clients better predict the orderflow intermediated by their dealers.

Suggested Citation

  • Kondor, Peter & Pinter, Gabor, 2022. "Clients’ connections: measuring the role of private information in decentralized markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 110861, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:110861
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/110861/
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    Cited by:

    1. Czech, Robert & Huang, Shiyang & Lou, Dong & Wang, Tianyu, 2021. "Informed trading in government bond markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(3), pages 1253-1274.
    2. Jason Allen & Milena Wittwer, 2023. "Centralizing Over-the-Counter Markets?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 131(12), pages 3310-3351.
    3. Gabor Pinter & Semih Uslu, 2022. "Comparing search and intermediation frictions across markets," Bank of England working papers 974, Bank of England.
    4. Gabor Pinter & Chaojun Wang & Junyuan Zou, 2024. "Size Discount and Size Penalty: Trading Costs in Bond Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(7), pages 2156-2190.
    5. Mahyar Kargar & Benjamin Lester & Sébastien Plante & Pierre-Olivier Weill, 2023. "Sequential Search for Corporate Bonds," NBER Working Papers 31904, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Domenico Di Gangi & Vladimir Lazarov & Aakash Mankodi & Laura Silvestri, 2022. "Links between government bond and futures markets: dealer-client relationships and price discovery in the UK," Bank of England working papers 991, Bank of England.
    7. Lou, Dong & Pinter, Gabor & Üslü, Semih & Walker, Danny, 2025. "Yield drifts when issuance comes before macro news," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    8. Robert Czech & Gábor Pintér, 2020. "Informed trading and the dynamics of client-dealer connections in corporate bond markets," Bank of England working papers 895, Bank of England.
    9. Péter Kondor & Gábor Pintér, 2022. "Clients' Connections: Measuring the Role of Private Information in Decentralized Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 505-544, February.
    10. Rhys M. Bidder & Jamie Coen & Caterina Lepore & Laura Silvetri, 2024. "Whose Asset Sales Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2024/168, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Di Maggio, Marco & Franzoni, Francesco & Massa, Massimo & Tubaldi, Roberto, 2024. "Strategic trading as a response to short sellers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. Jason Allen & Ali Hortaçsu & Eric Richert & Milena Wittwer, 2024. "Entry and Exit in Treasury Auctions," Staff Working Papers 24-29, Bank of Canada.
    13. Gábor Pintér & Chaojun Wang & Junyuan Zou, 2022. "Information chasing versus adverse selection," Bank of England working papers 971, Bank of England.
    14. Chao Ying, 2020. "The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift and Private Information: Kyle Meets Macro-Finance," 2020 Papers pyi149, Job Market Papers.
    15. Simon Jurkatis & Andreas Schrimpf & Karamfil Todorov & Nicholas Vause, 2023. "Relationship discounts incorporate bond trading," BIS Working Papers 1140, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Lou, Dong, 2020. "Informed Trading in Government Bond Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 15028, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Rodrigo Barria & Gabor Pinter, 2023. "Mispricing in inflation markets," Bank of England working papers 1034, Bank of England.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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