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Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Hung Do
  • Rabindra Nepal
  • Tooraj Jamasb

Abstract

This study investigates the volatility connectedness between the Irish and Great Britain electricity markets and how it is driven by changes in energy policy, institutional structures and political ideologies. We assess various aspects of this volatility connectedness including static (unconditional) vs dynamic (conditional), symmetric vs asymmetric characteristics between 2009 and 2018. We find that volatility connectedness is time varying and is significantly affected by important events, policy reforms or market re-designs such as Brexit, oil price slump, increasing share of renewables, and fluctuations in the exchange rates. Our asymmetric analysis shows that the magnitude of the good volatility connectedness is marginally larger than that of the bad volatility connectedness. Our result suggests that good volatility levels would be even higher once the Irish market adopts the carbon price floor. Therefore, supporting renewable generation by setting an appropriate carbon price in interconnected wholesale electricity markets will improve market integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Hung Do & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb, 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," CAMA Working Papers 2020-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2020-42
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    Cited by:

    1. Hasan, Mudassar & Arif, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Ngo, Quang-Thanh & Taghizadeh–Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "Time-frequency connectedness between Asian electricity sectors," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 208-224.
    2. Zhao, Wanli & Zhai, Xiangyang & Ji, Qiang & Liu, Zhenhua, 2024. "Measuring crisis from climate risk spillovers in European electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Tanvir Alam Shahi Md. & Sarolta Somosi, 2024. "Impulse response of auction price by practicing auction scheme for solar PV generation to generation quantity, investment and Brent crude oil price," E&M Economics and Management, Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Economics, vol. 27(4), pages 73-88, December.
    4. Xie, Qichang & Luo, Chao & Cong, Xiaoping & Wang, Xu, 2024. "Volatility connectedness and its determinants of global energy stock markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(2).
    5. Lyu, Chenyan & Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2024. "Volatility spillovers and carbon price in the Nordic wholesale electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    6. Yang, Jie & Feng, Yun & Yang, Hao, 2024. "Commodity connectedness of the petrochemical industrial chain: A novel perspective of “good” and “bad” volatility surprises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Rabbani, Mustafa Raza & Nepal, Rabindra & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2022. "Market integration in the Australian National Electricity Market: Fresh evidence from asymmetric time-frequency connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    8. Nepal, Rabindra & Sofe, Ronald & Jamasb, Tooraj & Ramiah, Vikash, 2023. "Independent power producers and deregulation in an island based small electricity system: The case of Papua New Guinea," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    9. Gianfreda, Angelica & Scandolo, Giacomo & Bunn, Derek, 2024. "The connectedness features of German electricity futures over short and long maturities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    10. Shahi Md. Tanvir Alam, 2022. "Renewable Energy (Solar and Wind) Generation and its Effect on some Variables for Selected EU Countries with Panel VAR Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 303-310, September.
    11. Abdullah, Mohammad & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Wali Ullah, G M & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Khan, Isma, 2023. "Tail risk contagion across electricity markets in crisis periods," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    12. Lyu, Chenyan & Scholtens, Bert, 2024. "Integration of the international carbon market: A time-varying analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    13. Chanatásig-Niza, Evelyn & Ciarreta, Aitor & Zarraga, Ainhoa, 2022. "A volatility spillover analysis with realized semi(co)variances in Australian electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    14. Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Pham, Son Duy & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2024. "Electricity market crisis in Europe and cross border price effects: A quantile return connectedness analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    15. Sikorska-Pastuszka, Magdalena & Papież, Monika, 2023. "Dynamic volatility connectedness in the European electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    16. Guo, Li-Yang & Feng, Chao, 2021. "Are there spillovers among China's pilots for carbon emission allowances trading?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    17. Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Wojewodzki, Michal & Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei, 2025. "Detecting the macro drivers in the Australian National Electricity Market asymmetric volatility co-movement," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    18. Zhu, Bo & Deng, Yuanyue & Lin, Renda & Hu, Xin & Chen, Pingshe, 2022. "Energy security: Does systemic risk spillover matter? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    19. Wei, Yu & Zhang, Jiahao & Bai, Lan & Wang, Yizhi, 2023. "Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time- and frequency-domain evidence based on TVP-VAR model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 289-309.

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    JEL classification:

    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design
    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • Q2 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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