IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/dnb/dnbwpp/836.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A liquidity black hole: What is the impact of a failing participant in a large value payment system and does time matter?

Author

Listed:
  • Ronald Heijmans
  • Ellen van der Woerd

Abstract

This paper presents a methodology to detect potential failing participants in large value payment systems and measure the intraday impact of outages, considering Liquidity, Systemic, and Receiver Impacts. Medium and high risk thresholds are es- tablished to create a combined risk indicator. Outages of large banks can be detected within 10 minutes, while smaller banks may take over 30 minutes. Impact and risk levels vary by the size of the bank and the start time of the outage. Large banks can reach high-risk levels in 30 minutes, highlighting the need for timely detection, whereas smaller banks rarely reach high-risk levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald Heijmans & Ellen van der Woerd, 2025. "A liquidity black hole: What is the impact of a failing participant in a large value payment system and does time matter?," Working Papers 836, DNB.
    • Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:836
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.dnb.nl/media/au0lc5br/working_paper_no-836.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Morten L. Bech & Bart Hobijn, 2007. "Technology Diffusion within Central Banking: The Case of Real-Time Gross Settlement," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(3), pages 147-181, September.
    2. Evangelos Benos & Rodney J. Garratt & Peter Zimmerman, 2014. "The Role of Counterparty Risk in CHAPS Following the Collapse of Lehman Brothers," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 143-172, December.
    3. Klee, Elizabeth, 2010. "Operational outages and aggregate uncertainty in the federal funds market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2386-2402, October.
    4. Heijmans, Ronald & Wendt, Froukelien, 2023. "Measuring the impact of a failing participant in payment systems," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(4).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jan Paulick & Ron Berndsen & Martin Diehl & Ronald Heijmans, 2024. "No more tears without tiers? The impact of indirect settlement on liquidity use in TARGET2," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(2), pages 425-458, May.
    2. Rodney J. Garratt & Zhentong Lu & Phoebe Tian, 2023. "How Banks Create Gridlock to Save Liquidity in Canada's Large Value Payment System," Staff Working Papers 23-26, Bank of Canada.
    3. Bech, Morten & Monnet, Cyril, 2016. "A search-based model of the interbank money market and monetary policy implementation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 32-67.
    4. Neville Arjani & Ronald Heijmans, 2020. "Is there anybody out there? Detecting operational outages from LVTS transaction data," Working Papers 683, DNB.
    5. Biliana Alexandrova Kabadjova & Anton Badev & Saulo Benchimol Bastos & Evangelos Benos & Freddy Cepeda- Lopéz & James Chapman & Martin Diehl & Ioana Duca-Radu & Rodney Garratt & Ronald Heijmans & Anne, 2023. "Intraday liquidity around the world," BIS Working Papers 1089, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. repec:fip:fedhep:y:2013:i:qii:p:30-46:n:vol.37no.2 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Morten L. Bech & Christine Preisig & Kimmo Soramaki, 2008. "Global trends in large-value payments," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 14(Sep), pages 59-81.
    8. Q. Farooq Akram & Casper Christophersen, 2017. "Pricing in the Norwegian Interbank Market – the Effects of Liquidity and Implicit Government Support," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(2), pages 165-204, April.
    9. Morten L. Bech & Antoine Martin & James J. McAndrews, 2012. "Settlement liquidity and monetary policy implementation—lessons from the financial crisis," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 18(Mar), pages 3-20.
    10. Biswajit Patra & Narayan Sethi, 2024. "Does digital payment induce economic growth in emerging economies? The mediating role of institutional quality, consumption expenditure, and bank credit," Information Technology for Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 57-75, January.
    11. Gara Afonso & Hyun Song Shin, 2011. "Precautionary Demand and Liquidity in Payment Systems," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(s2), pages 589-619, October.
    12. Bech, Morten L. & Chapman, James T.E. & Garratt, Rodney J., 2010. "Which bank is the "central" bank?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(3), pages 352-363, April.
    13. Martin, Antoine & McAndrews, James, 2010. "A study of competing designs for a liquidity-saving mechanism," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1818-1826, August.
    14. Cárdenas, Miguel & Madeira, Carlos & Morales-Resendiz, Raúl & Musa, Miguel & Sanclemente, Mario & Sanz-Bunster, Leon, 2024. "Tiered access in RTGS systems: A DLT-based approach," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(1).
    15. Jushua Baldoceda & Anthony Meza, 2022. "Liquidity Risk and Interdependence in Payment Systems: The Case of Peru," IHEID Working Papers 01-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    16. Irving Fisher Committee, 2022. "Machine learning in central banking," IFC Bulletins, Bank for International Settlements, number 57.
    17. Todd Keister & Antoine Martin & James J. McAndrews, 2008. "Divorcing money from monetary policy," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 14(Sep), pages 41-56.
    18. Elisabeth Ledrut, 2007. "The BIS statistics on payments and settlements," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    19. Sabetti, Leonard & Heijmans, Ronald, 2021. "Shallow or deep? Training an autoencoder to detect anomalous flows in a retail payment system," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(2).
    20. Stephen Quinn & William Roberds, 2015. "Responding to a Shadow Banking Crisis: The Lessons of 1763," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(6), pages 1149-1176, September.
    21. John Goddard & Donal McKillop & John Wilson, 2009. "Which Credit Unions are Acquired?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 36(2), pages 231-252, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial market infrastructures; TARGET2; liquidity risk; operational risk; systemic risk; financial stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E59 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Other

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:836. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: DNB (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dnbgvnl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.