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Policy with Stochastic Hysteresis

Author

Listed:
  • Job Boerma

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • Georgii Riabov

    (Institute of Mathematics of NAS of Ukraine)

  • Aleh Tsyvinski

    (Yale University)

Abstract

This paper studies stochastic hysteresis - general dependence on the path of past decisions and shocks. We develop a new methodology for deriving the explicit dynamics of optimal policy with path- dependence and show that stochastic hysteresis changes optimal policy both qualitatively and quantitatively. We showcase our methodology by deriving new results for optimal policy with stochastic habits, tipping points, robustness concerns, limited commitment, and dynamic private information.

Suggested Citation

  • Job Boerma & Georgii Riabov & Aleh Tsyvinski, 2023. "Policy with Stochastic Hysteresis," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2382, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:2382
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    File URL: https://cowles.yale.edu/sites/default/files/2024-02/d2382.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Detemple, Jerome B & Zapatero, Fernando, 1991. "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy with Habit Formation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1633-1657, November.
    4. Constantinides, George M, 1990. "Habit Formation: A Resolution of the Equity Premium Puzzle," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(3), pages 519-543, June.
    5. Sendhil Mullainathan, 2002. "A Memory-Based Model of Bounded Rationality," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(3), pages 735-774.
    6. Borovicka, J. & Hansen, L.P., 2016. "Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1641-1696, Elsevier.
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