Evaluating the Median Voter Modelâ€™s Explanatory Power
We match individual senatorsâ€™ voting behavior on legislative proposals with 24 real referenda decisions on exactly the same issues with identical wording. This setting allows us to evaluate the median voter modelâ€™s quality with revealed constituentsâ€™ preferences. Results indicate a limited explanatory power of the median voter model: It explains 17.6 percentage points more than random voting and a senatorâ€™s probability to accept a proposal in parliament increases on average by 8.4 percentage points when the district median voter accepts the proposal.
|Date of creation:||Jul 2011|
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- Garrett, Thomas A, 1999. "A Test of Shirking under Legislative and Citizen Vote: The Case of State Lottery Adoption," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(1), pages 189-208, April.
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- Lawrence Kenny & Babak Lotfinia, 2005. "Evidence on the importance of spatial voting models in presidential nominations and elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 123(3), pages 439-462, June.
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