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GTAP-MVH, A Model for Analysing the Worldwide Effects of Trade Policies in the Motor Vehicle Sector: Theory and Data

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  • Peter B. Dixon
  • Maureen Rimmer
  • Nhi Tran

Abstract

The Office of the Chief Economist in Global Affairs Canada (hereafter, the Office) is seeking to add to its tools for looking at the effects on Canada and other countries of higher U.S. protection. The Office is particularly interested in the motor vehicle sector. To meet the Office's requirements, we created a version of the GTAP model in which the motor vehicle sector is disaggregated. We call this version GTAP-MVH. This paper describes the process and data inputs though which we constructed a disaggregated motor vehicle sector for GTAP-MVH. The theory in standard GTAP assumes that capital is completely mobile between industries and that labor markets are characterized by either fixed real wages or completely flexible real wages that adjust to eliminate effects on aggregate employment from policy changes. These capital and labor assumptions limit the usefulness of standard GTAP as a tool for analyzing the short-run impacts of policy changes. We describe theoretical innovations to standard GTAP to enhance its depiction of both capital and labor markets. We also describe innovations in other areas, particularly in the treatments of: the accumulation by each region of foreign assets and liabilities; and the determination of savings, investment and rates of return.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter B. Dixon & Maureen Rimmer & Nhi Tran, 2019. "GTAP-MVH, A Model for Analysing the Worldwide Effects of Trade Policies in the Motor Vehicle Sector: Theory and Data," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-290, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-290
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Erwin Corong & Thomas Hertel & Robert McDougall & Marinos Tsigas & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2017. "The Standard GTAP Model, version 7," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 2(1), pages 1-119, June.
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    6. Gehlhar, Mark J., 1996. "Reconciling Bilateral Trade Data For Use In Gtap," Technical Papers 28714, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Calderon, Cesar & Chong, Alberto & Stein, Ernesto, 2007. "Trade intensity and business cycle synchronization: Are developing countries any different?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 2-21, March.
    8. Angel Aguiar & Badri Narayanan & Robert McDougall, 2016. "An Overview of the GTAP 9 Data Base," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1), pages 181-208, June.
    9. Ianchovichina, Elena & McDougall, Robert, 2000. "Theoretical Structure Of Dynamic Gtap," Technical Papers 28723, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    11. Ianchovichina,Elena & Walmsley,Terrie L. (ed.), 2012. "Dynamic Modeling and Applications for Global Economic Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107002432, October.
    12. Shaar, Karam, 2017. "Reconciling International Trade Data," MPRA Paper 81572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Gehlhar, Mark, 1996. "Reconciling Bilateral Trade Data for Use in GTAP," GTAP Technical Papers 313, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
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    Cited by:

    1. James A. Giesecke & Nhi H. Tran & Robert Waschik, 2021. "Should Australia be concerned by Beijing’s trade threats: modelling the economic costs of a restriction on imports of Australian coal," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(1), pages 1-22, January.
    2. Dixon, Peter & Rimmer, Maureen, 2021. "A GTAP Historical Simulation from 2004 to 2014," Conference papers 333258, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen Rimmer & Nhi Tran, 2020. "Creating a Disaggregated CGE Model for Trade Policy Analysis: GTAP-MVH," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 55(1), pages 42-79, February.
    4. P.B. Dixon & J.A. Giesecke & J. Nassios & M.T. Rimmer, 2020. "The Effects of Financial Decoupling of the U.S. and China: Simulations with a Global Financial CGE Model," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-309, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    5. J.A. Giesecke & R. Waschik & N.H. Tran, 2019. "Modelling the Consequences of the U.S.-China Trade War and Related Trade Frictions for the U.S., Chinese, Australian and Global Economies," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-294, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GTAP disaggregation; motor vehicle sector; inter-industry capital mobility; foreign assets and liabilities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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