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Nonlinear Dynamics in a Structural Model of Employment

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  • Simon Burgess

Abstract

Search and matching models imply that firms' employment adjustment costs depend on the tightness on the labour market, giving rise to endogenous or nonlinear dynamics in employment. This paper sets this argument out in detail, estimating a model simultaneously explaining the long-run level of employment and the nonlinear dynamics. The main implications of the estimated model are (i) the effect of a given shock to the long run level of employment is markedly different at different levels of employment, and (ii) asymmetric business cycles result with the downswing in employment being sharper and deeper than the upswing.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Burgess, 1991. "Nonlinear Dynamics in a Structural Model of Employment," CEP Discussion Papers dp0037, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp0037
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    Cited by:

    1. Akram,Q.F. & Nymoen,R., 2001. "Employment behaviour in slack and tight labour markets," Memorandum 27/2001, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
    2. Bosupeng, Mpho & Naranpanawa, Athula & Su, Jen-Je, 2024. "Does exchange rate volatility affect the impact of appreciation and depreciation on the trade balance? A nonlinear bivariate approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    3. Adjemian, Stéphane & Karamé, Frédéric & Langot, François, 2021. "Nonlinearities and Workers' Heterogeneity in Unemployment Dynamics," IZA Discussion Papers 14822, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Q.Farooq Akram & Øyvind Eitrheim & Lucio Sarno, 2006. "Non-linear Dynamics in Output, Real Exchange Rates and Real Money Balances: Norway, 1830-2003," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles, pages 333-377, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    5. Alvaro Escribano & Santiago Mira, 2002. "Nonlinear error correction models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(5), pages 509-522, September.
    6. Feve, Patrick, 2002. "Solving labor demand models under asymmetric adjustment costs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 797-809, May.
    7. Akram, Qaisar Farooq, 2005. "Multiple unemployment equilibria and asymmetric dynamics--Norwegian evidence," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 263-283, June.
    8. Fabrice Collard & Patrick Fève & François Langot & Corinne Perraudin, 2002. "A structural model of US aggregate job flows," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 197-223.
    9. Skalin, Joakim & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2002. "Modeling Asymmetries And Moving Equilibria In Unemployment Rates," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 202-241, April.
    10. Gilles Dufrénot & Valérie Mignon, 2002. "La cointégration non linéaire : une note méthodologique," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 155(4), pages 117-137.
    11. Akram, Q. Farooq & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2006. "Econometric modelling of slack and tight labour markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 579-596, July.
    12. Shahbaba Babak, 2009. "Discovering Hidden Structures Using Mixture Models: Application to Nonlinear Time Series Processes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, May.
    13. Ingvild Svendsen, 1998. "Rational Expectations in Price Setting. Tests Based on Norwegian Export Prices," Discussion Papers 226, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    14. Hansen,B.E., 1999. "Testing for linearity," Working papers 7, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
    15. Daniel S. Hamermesh & Gerard Pfann, 1992. "Turnover and the Dynamics of Labor Demand," NBER Working Papers 4204, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Burgess, Simon M. & Pfann, Gerard A., 1993. "Asymmetric and time-varying error-correction: an application to labour demand in the UK," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 3681, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.

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