IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/boa/wpaper/202531.html

The Factor Structure of Jump Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Torben G. Andersen

    (Department of Finance, Northwestern University)

  • Yi Ding

    (Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau)

  • Viktor Todorov

    (Department of Finance, Northwestern University)

  • Seunghyeon Yu

    (Department of Finance, Northwestern University)

Abstract

This paper develops a test for deciding whether latent systematic jumps in a large cross-section of asset prices obey a linear factor structure of low dimension. The test relies on a panel of high-frequency return observations for a large cross-section of assets over a fixed time interval. The latent systematic jumps are identified nonparametrically. The test is based on evaluating the statistical significance of the smallest eigenvalues of the outer product of the matrix of high-frequency increments that are identified to contain systematic jumps. The limit behavior of the test statistic, under the null hypothesis, is highly nonstandard, with systematic di!usive risks as well as idiosyncratic di!usive and jump risks in the asset prices all contributing to the limit in a distinct manner. An easy-to-implement bootstrap method is developed that allows for feasible implementation of the test. Empirical application to stocks in the S&P 500 index illustrates the usefulness of the proposed test.

Suggested Citation

  • Torben G. Andersen & Yi Ding & Viktor Todorov & Seunghyeon Yu, 2025. "The Factor Structure of Jump Risk," Working Papers 202531, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration, revised Mar 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:boa:wpaper:202531
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://fba.um.edu.mo/wp-content/uploads/RePEc/doc/202531.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qihui Chen & Zheng Fang, 2018. "Improved Inference on the Rank of a Matrix," Papers 1812.02337, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    2. Jia Li & Viktor Todorov & George Tauchen, 2019. "Jump factor models in large cross‐sections," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(2), pages 419-456, May.
    3. Qihui Chen & Zheng Fang, 2019. "Improved inference on the rank of a matrix," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(4), pages 1787-1824, November.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim & Li, Sophia Zhengzi & Todorov, Viktor, 2016. "Roughing up beta: Continuous versus discontinuous betas and the cross section of expected stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 464-490.
    5. Pelger, Markus, 2019. "Large-dimensional factor modeling based on high-frequency observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 23-42.
    6. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jean Jacod & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Inference on Risk Premia in Continuous-Time Asset Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 28140, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    8. Alexei Onatski, 2010. "Determining the Number of Factors from Empirical Distribution of Eigenvalues," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(4), pages 1004-1016, November.
    9. Seung C. Ahn & Alex R. Horenstein, 2013. "Eigenvalue Ratio Test for the Number of Factors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1203-1227, May.
    10. Kleibergen, Frank & Paap, Richard, 2006. "Generalized reduced rank tests using the singular value decomposition," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 97-126, July.
    11. Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & Olivier Scaillet, 2022. "Eigenvalue tests for the number of latent factors in short panels," Papers 2210.16042, arXiv.org.
    12. Markus Pelger, 2020. "Understanding Systematic Risk: A High‐Frequency Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 2179-2220, August.
    13. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Using principal component analysis to estimate a high dimensional factor model with high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 384-399.
    14. Robin, Jean-Marc & Smith, Richard J., 2000. "Tests Of Rank," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 151-175, April.
    15. Todorov, Viktor & Bollerslev, Tim, 2010. "Jumps and betas: A new framework for disentangling and estimating systematic risks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 220-235, August.
    16. Jia Li & Viktor Todorov & George Tauchen & Huidi Lin, 2019. "Rank Tests at Jump Events," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 312-321, April.
    17. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Dacheng Xiu, 2019. "Principal Component Analysis of High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(525), pages 287-303, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dovonon, Prosper & Taamouti, Abderrahim & Williams, Julian, 2022. "Testing the eigenvalue structure of spot and integrated covariance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 363-395.
    2. Gagliardini, Patrick & Ossola, Elisa & Scaillet, Olivier, 2020. "Estimation of large dimensional conditional factor models in finance," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Steven N. Durlauf & Lars Peter Hansen & James J. Heckman & Rosa L. Matzkin (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 7, chapter 0, pages 219-282, Elsevier.
    3. Chen, Dachuan & Lu, Wenqi & Xie, Siyu, 2025. "High frequency factor analysis with partially observable factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    4. Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & O. Scaillet, 2022. "Eigenvalue tests for the number of latent factors in short panels," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-81, Swiss Finance Institute.
    5. Cheng, Mingmian & Liao, Yuan & Yang, Xiye, 2023. "Uniform predictive inference for factor models with instrumental and idiosyncratic betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    6. Jianqing Fan & Kunpeng Li & Yuan Liao, 2020. "Recent Developments on Factor Models and its Applications in Econometric Learning," Papers 2009.10103, arXiv.org.
    7. Kalnina, Ilze & Tewou, Kokouvi, 2025. "Cross-sectional dependence in idiosyncratic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PB).
    8. Wenjie Wang & Yichong Zhang, 2021. "Wild Bootstrap for Instrumental Variables Regressions with Weak and Few Clusters," Papers 2108.13707, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    9. Dinesh Gajurel & Mardi Dungey & Wenying Yao & Nagaratnam Jeyasreedharan, 2020. "Jump Risk in the US Financial Sector," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 96(314), pages 331-349, September.
    10. Markus Pelger, 2020. "Understanding Systematic Risk: A High‐Frequency Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 2179-2220, August.
    11. Choi, Jungjun & Yang, Xiye, 2022. "Asymptotic properties of correlation-based principal component analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(1), pages 1-18.
    12. Zhang, Ailian & Pan, Mengmeng & Zhang, Xuan, 2025. "The pricing ability of factor model based on machine learning: Evidence from high-frequency data in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    13. Ignace De Vos & Gerdie Everaert & Vasilis Sarafidis, 2021. "A method for evaluating the rank condition for CCE estimators," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 21/1013, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    14. Pelger, Markus, 2019. "Large-dimensional factor modeling based on high-frequency observations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 23-42.
    15. Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & Olivier Scaillet, 2023. "Latent Factor Analysis in Short Panels," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-44, Swiss Finance Institute.
    16. Xin-Bing Kong & Yong-Xin Liu & Long Yu & Peng Zhao, 2022. "Matrix Quantile Factor Model," Papers 2208.08693, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    17. Ding, Yi & Li, Yingying & Liu, Guoli & Zheng, Xinghua, 2024. "Stock co-jump networks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
    18. Qihui Chen & Zheng Fang & Xun Huang, 2021. "Implementing an Improved Test of Matrix Rank in Stata," Papers 2108.00511, arXiv.org.
    19. Chowdhury, Biplob & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Dungey, Mardi, 2018. "Quantile relationships between standard, diffusion and jump betas across Japanese banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 29-47.
    20. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Conditional Factor Models with Instrumental and Idiosyncratic Betas," Departmental Working Papers 201711, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:boa:wpaper:202531. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Carla Leong (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fbmacmo.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.