Report NEP-ETS-2025-06-09

This is the archive for NEP-ETS, a report on new working papers in the area of Econometric Time Series. Simon Sosvilla-Rivero issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-ETS

The following items were announced in this report:

• Jonas E. Arias & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Minchul Shin, 2025. "A Gibbs Sampler for Efficient Bayesian Inference in Sign-Identified SVARs," Working Papers 25-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
• Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Romero, Eva & Lopes Moreira Da Veiga, María Helena, 2025. "Switching the leverage switch," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 47005, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
• Pal, Hemendra, 2023. "The Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on Global Commodity Brent Crude Prices," MPRA Paper 124770, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Oct 2024.
• Paponpat Taveeapiradeecharoen & Popkarn Arwatchanakarn, 2025. "Forecasting Thai inflation from univariate Bayesian regression perspective," Papers 2505.05334, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
• Beck, Krzysztof & Wyszyński, Mateusz & Dubel, Marcin, 2025. "Bayesian dynamic systems modelling. Bayesian model averaging for dynamic panels with weakly exogenous regressors," MPRA Paper 124689, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Mohammadhossein Rashidi & Mohammad Modarres, 2025. "Predicting the Price of Gold in the Financial Markets Using Hybrid Models," Papers 2505.01402, arXiv.org.
• Torben G. Andersen & Yi Ding & Viktor Todorov & Seunghyeon Yu, 2025. "The Factor Structure of Jump Risk," Working Papers 202531, University of Macau, Faculty of Business Administration.
• Othmane Zarhali & Cecilia Aubrun & Emmanuel Bacry & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2025. "Why is the volatility of single stocks so much rougher than that of the S&P500?," Papers 2505.02678, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
• Alex Nezlobin & Martin Tassy, 2025. "Loss-Versus-Rebalancing under Deterministic and Generalized block-times," Papers 2505.05113, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
• Phillip An & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Amaze Lusompa, 2025. "How High Does High Frequency Need to Be? A Comparison of Daily and Intradaily Monetary Policy Surprises," Research Working Paper RWP 25-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
• Enrique Martínez García & Efthymios Pavlidis, 2025. "Bubbling Up? What Consumer Expectations Reveal About U.S. Housing Market Exuberance," Working Papers 2521, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
• Nurbanu Bursa, 2025. "Stock Market Telepathy: Graph Neural Networks Predicting the Secret Conversations between MINT and G7 Countries," Papers 2506.01945, arXiv.org.
• Connor M. Brennan & Margaret M. Jacobson & Christian Matthes & Todd B. Walker, 2024. "Monetary Policy Shocks: Data or Methods?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-011r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Jan-Lukas Wermuth, 2025. "Proper Correlation Coefficients for Nominal Random Variables," Papers 2505.00785, arXiv.org.
• Collado Fernandez, Victor & Méndez, Fernando J. & Minguez Solana, Roberto, 2025. "Upper-tail sampling correction technique for engineering design," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 46849, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
• Elliot Beck & Michael Wolf, 2025. "Forecasting inflation with the hedged random forest," Working Papers 2025-07, Swiss National Bank.
• David Kang & Seojeong Lee, 2025. "Misspecification-Robust Asymptotic and Bootstrap Inference for Nonsmooth GMM," Working Papers 423284005, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
• Escribano Sáez, Álvaro & Rodríguez Solano, Juan Andres & Arranz Cuesta, Miguel Angel, 2025. "40 Years of Empirical Evidence of Cointegration and Nonlinear Equilibrium Correction in UK Money Demand since the XIX Century," UC3M Working papers. Economics 47122, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
• Fourie, Jurgens & Steenkamp, Daan, 2025. "Forecasting economic downturns in South Africa using leading indicators and machine learning," MPRA Paper 124709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Coelli, Federica & Pelzl, Paul, 2025. "Local Booms and Innovation," Discussion Papers 2025/20, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
• Shovon Sengupta & Tanujit Chakraborty & Sunny Kumar Singh, 2024. "Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties," Post-Print hal-05056934, HAL.
• Adrian Fernández-Pérez & Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2025. "El Clasico of Housing: Bubbles in Madrid and Barcelona’s Real Estate Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2025-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.