IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/1291.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Análisis de la Probabilidad de las Firmas Colombianas para Importar Productos entre 1995 y 2017

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge García-García
  • Enrique Montes-Uribe
  • Juan Sebastián Silva-Rodríguez
  • Héctor Manuel Zárate-Solano

Abstract

This document describes and calculates the probability of importing products in Colombia based on various characteristics of the importing market during the period 1995–2017. The estimates are derived from a nonlinear econometric zero-inflated Poisson model that relates the frequency of importing to its determinants. Subsequently, it analyzes how the probabilities of importing changed in response to key variables in the importing market. The main findings reveal that a small group of importers had the highest likelihood of importing in a market characterized by high concentration and increasing protection. Moreover, the analysis highlights that non-tariff measures and market concentration levels were the most significant factors influencing the probability of importing in Colombia. **** RESUMEN: En este artículo, se calcula y describe la probabilidad de importar productos de acuerdo con algunas características del mercado importador en Colombia durante el periodo de 1995 a 2017. Las estimaciones se basan en un modelo econométrico no lineal de tipo Poisson con exceso de ceros que relaciona la frecuencia de importar con sus determinantes. Posteriormente, se analiza cómo cambian las probabilidades de importar con respecto a variables clave del mercado importador. Los principales hallazgos indican que un grupo reducido de importadores enfrentaron las mayores probabilidades de importar, en un mercado altamente concentrado y cada vez más protegido. Asimismo, las variables más relevantes para entender la probabilidad de importar en Colombia fueron las medidas no arancelarias y el nivel de concentración del mercado.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge García-García & Enrique Montes-Uribe & Juan Sebastián Silva-Rodríguez & Héctor Manuel Zárate-Solano, 2024. "Análisis de la Probabilidad de las Firmas Colombianas para Importar Productos entre 1995 y 2017," Borradores de Economia 1291, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1291
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1291
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1291
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/be.1291?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joachim Wagner, 2016. "A survey of empirical studies using transaction level data on exports and imports," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 215-225, February.
    2. Julien Gourdon & Susan Stone & Frank van Tongeren, 2020. "Non-tariff measures in agriculture," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 147, OECD Publishing.
    3. Ghodsi, Mahdi, 2023. "Exploring the ‘non-tariff measures black box’: Whose regulatory NTMs on which products improve the imported quality?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 45-67.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kao, Erin Hui-Chuan & Liu, Jin-Tan, 2022. "Extensive margins of trade and firm survival," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    2. Valeria Gattai & Piergiovanna Natale & Francesca Rossi, 2022. "Board Diversity and Outward FDI: Evidence from Europe," Working Papers 491, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2022.
    3. Torres Mazzi, Caio & Foster-McGregor, Neil, 2021. "Imported intermediates, technological capabilities and exports: Evidence from Brazilian firm-level data," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(1).
    4. Gattai, Valeria & Natale, Piergiovanna & Rossi, Francesca, 2023. "Board diversity and outward FDI: Evidence from europe," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    5. De Lucio, Juan & Mínguez, Raúl & Minondo, Asier & Requena, Francisco, 2017. "Los márgenes del crecimiento de las exportaciones españolas antes y después de la Gran Recesión /Spanish Trade Margins before and after the Great Recession," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 35, pages 43-62, Enero.
    6. Koray Aktas & Valeria Gattai, 2021. "Inward FDI, outward FDI, and firm-level performance in India," Working Papers 481, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2021.
    7. Joachim Wagner, 2017. "R&D Activities and Extensive Margins of Exports in Manufacturing Enterprises: First Evidence for Germany," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 232-244, May.
    8. Ghodsi, Mahdi, 2023. "Exploring the ‘non-tariff measures black box’: Whose regulatory NTMs on which products improve the imported quality?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 45-67.
    9. Torres Mazzi, Caio & Foster-McGregor, Neil & Estefânia de Sousa Ferreira, Glaucia, 2021. "Production fragmentation and upgrading opportunities for exporters: An empirical assessment of the case of Brazil," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    10. João Amador & Sónia Cabral & Birgitte Ringstad, 2019. "International trade in services: firm-level evidence for Portugal," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 18(3), pages 127-163, October.
    11. Caio Torres Mazzi & Gideon Ndubuisi & Elvis Avenyo, 2020. "Exporters and global value chain participation: Firm-level evidence from South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-145, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    12. Donatella Baiardi & Valeria Gattai & Piergiovanna Natale, 2021. "Estimating the ex‐ante and the ex‐post effects of Chinese outward FDI," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(12), pages 3641-3673, December.
    13. Matteo Bugamelli & Andrea Linarello & Roberta Serafini, 2019. "The 'Margin call'. Export experience and firm entry into new export markets," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 536, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. Baumgartner Christoph & Srhoj Stjepan & Walde Janette, 2023. "Harmonization of Product Classifications: A Consistent Time Series of Economic Trade Activities," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 243(6), pages 643-662, December.
    15. Joachim Wagner, 2019. "Time zones and German exports: first evidence from firm-product level data," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 155(1), pages 181-198, February.
    16. Anna Nagurney & Elena Besedina, 2023. "A Multicommodity Spatial Price Equilibrium Model with Exchange Rates and Non-Tariff Measures for Agri-Food International Trade," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 1-30, December.
    17. Wagner, Joachim, 2018. "Temporary exports and characteristics of destination countries: First evidence from German transaction data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 12, pages 1-12.
    18. Lawrence Edwards & Marco Sanfilippo & Asha Sundaram, 2016. "Importing and firm performance: New evidence from South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2016-39, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    19. Oecd, 2017. "Making trade work for all," OECD Trade Policy Papers 202, OECD Publishing.
    20. Joachim Wagner, 2016. "Quality of Firms’ Exports and Distance to Destination Countries: First Evidence from Germany," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 811-818, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1291. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.