IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/1291.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Análisis de la Probabilidad de las Firmas Colombianas para Importar Productos entre 1995 y 2017

Author

Listed:
  • Jorge García-García
  • Enrique Montes-Uribe
  • Juan Sebastián Silva-Rodríguez
  • Héctor Manuel Zárate-Solano

Abstract

This document describes and calculates the probability of importing products in Colombia based on various characteristics of the importing market during the period 1995–2017. The estimates are derived from a nonlinear econometric zero-inflated Poisson model that relates the frequency of importing to its determinants. Subsequently, it analyzes how the probabilities of importing changed in response to key variables in the importing market. The main findings reveal that a small group of importers had the highest likelihood of importing in a market characterized by high concentration and increasing protection. Moreover, the analysis highlights that non-tariff measures and market concentration levels were the most significant factors influencing the probability of importing in Colombia. **** RESUMEN: En este artículo, se calcula y describe la probabilidad de importar productos de acuerdo con algunas características del mercado importador en Colombia durante el periodo de 1995 a 2017. Las estimaciones se basan en un modelo econométrico no lineal de tipo Poisson con exceso de ceros que relaciona la frecuencia de importar con sus determinantes. Posteriormente, se analiza cómo cambian las probabilidades de importar con respecto a variables clave del mercado importador. Los principales hallazgos indican que un grupo reducido de importadores enfrentaron las mayores probabilidades de importar, en un mercado altamente concentrado y cada vez más protegido. Asimismo, las variables más relevantes para entender la probabilidad de importar en Colombia fueron las medidas no arancelarias y el nivel de concentración del mercado.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge García-García & Enrique Montes-Uribe & Juan Sebastián Silva-Rodríguez & Héctor Manuel Zárate-Solano, 2024. "Análisis de la Probabilidad de las Firmas Colombianas para Importar Productos entre 1995 y 2017," Borradores de Economia 1291, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1291
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1291
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.1291
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/be.1291?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joachim Wagner, 2016. "A survey of empirical studies using transaction level data on exports and imports," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 215-225, February.
    2. Ghodsi, Mahdi, 2023. "Exploring the ‘non-tariff measures black box’: Whose regulatory NTMs on which products improve the imported quality?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 45-67.
    3. Julien Gourdon & Susan Stone & Frank van Tongeren, 2020. "Non-tariff measures in agriculture," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 147, OECD Publishing.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lawless, Martina & Siedschlag, Iulia & Studnicka, Zuzanna, 2017. "Expanding and diversifying the manufactured exports of Irish-owned enterprises," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number BKMNEXT335.
    2. Ingo Geishecker & Philipp J. H. Schröder & Allan S⊘rensen, 2019. "One‐off export events," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 52(1), pages 93-131, February.
    3. Joachim Wagner, 2017. "Intra-good trade in Germany: a first look at the evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(57), pages 5753-5761, December.
    4. Shadrack Muthami Mwatu, 2022. "Institutions and export performance: firm level evidence from Kenya," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 69(4), pages 487-506, December.
    5. Gregory Corcos & Silviano Esteve-Pérez & Salvador Gil-Pareja & Yuanzhe Tang, "undated". "Firm-level export and import survival over the business cycle," Working Papers 2022-22, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    6. Kao, Erin Hui-Chuan & Liu, Jin-Tan, 2022. "Extensive margins of trade and firm survival," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    7. Valeria Gattai & Piergiovanna Natale & Francesca Rossi, 2022. "Board Diversity and Outward FDI: Evidence from Europe," Working Papers 491, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2022.
    8. Castellani, Davide & Fassio, Claudio, 2016. "Import, Export and Multinationality. Evidence from Swedish Firms," Papers in Innovation Studies 2016/30, Lund University, CIRCLE - Centre for Innovation Research.
    9. Wagner, Joachim, 2016. "The lumpiness of German exports and imports of goods," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-38.
    10. Majune, Socrates Kraido & Türkcan, Kemal, 2022. "COVID-19 vs. GFC: A firm-level trade margins analysis using Kenyan data," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2022-6, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    11. Torres Mazzi, Caio & Foster-McGregor, Neil, 2021. "Imported intermediates, technological capabilities and exports: Evidence from Brazilian firm-level data," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(1).
    12. Encarnación Moral-Pajares & María Zozaya-Montes & Leticia Gallego-Valero, 2024. "Globalization versus Regionalization in Agri-Food Exports from Spain and Portugal," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, June.
    13. Gattai, Valeria & Natale, Piergiovanna & Rossi, Francesca, 2023. "Board diversity and outward FDI: Evidence from europe," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    14. Lawrence Edwards & Marco Sanfilippo & Asha Sundaram, 2016. "Importing and firm performance: New evidence from South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series 039, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    15. Joachim Wagner, 2018. "Multiple Import Sourcing. First Evidence for German Enterprises from Manufacturing Industries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 165-175, February.
    16. Baumgartner Christoph & Srhoj Stjepan & Walde Janette, 2023. "Harmonization of Product Classifications: A Consistent Time Series of Economic Trade Activities," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 243(6), pages 643-662, December.
    17. Emanuele Ferrari & Christian Elleby & Beyhan DE JONG & Robert M'barek & Ignacio PEREZ DOMINGUEZ, 2024. "Cumulative economic impact of upcoming trade agreements on EU agriculture," JRC Research Reports JRC135540, Joint Research Centre.
    18. De Lucio, Juan & Mínguez, Raúl & Minondo, Asier & Requena, Francisco, 2017. "Los márgenes del crecimiento de las exportaciones españolas antes y después de la Gran Recesión /Spanish Trade Margins before and after the Great Recession," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 35, pages 43-62, Enero.
    19. Castellani, Davide & Fassio, Claudio, 2017. "Export innovation: The role of new imported inputs and multinationality," Papers in Innovation Studies 2017/16, Lund University, CIRCLE - Centre for Innovation Research.
    20. Lawrence Edwards & Marco Sanfilippo & Asha Sundaram, 2020. "Importing and Productivity: An Analysis of South African Manufacturing Firms," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(2), pages 411-432, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    importaciones; medidas no arancelarias; probabilidad; modelo Poisson; imports; non-tariff measures; probability; Poisson model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1291. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.