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Investigação da Memória de Longo Prazo na Taxa de Câmbio no Brasil

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza
  • Benjamin Miranda Tabak
  • Daniel O. Cajueiro

Abstract

This paper presents measures of long-range dependence in daily exchange rates of the Brazilian Real against the US Dollar, taken from 1995 to 2004 employing the classical R/S analysis with a rolling sample. It analyses the switch from a crawling peg exchange regime to a floating exchange regime, in 1999, finding antipersistence in the exchange rate during the first exchange regime, and long memory in the exchange rates along the second one. Also, it finds long memory for the exchange rates' volatilities along the whole period.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza & Benjamin Miranda Tabak & Daniel O. Cajueiro, 2006. "Investigação da Memória de Longo Prazo na Taxa de Câmbio no Brasil," Working Papers Series 113, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcb:wpaper:113
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    File URL: https://www.bcb.gov.br/pec/wps/port/wps113.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Correa, Arnildo da Silva & Minella, André, 2010. "Nonlinear mechanisms of the exchange rate pass-through: A Phillips curve model with threshold for Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(3), September.
    2. Sergio R. S. Souza & Benjamin M. Tabak & Daniel O. Cajueiro, 2008. "Long-Range Dependence In Exchange Rates: The Case Of The European Monetary System," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(02), pages 199-223.
    3. Solange Gouvea, 2007. "Price Rigidity in Brazil: Evidence from CPI Micro Data," Working Papers Series 143, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    4. Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Eduardo Saliby & Joséte Florencio do Santos, 2006. "Out-Of-The_Money Monte Carlo Simulation Option Pricing: the join use of Importance Sampling and Descriptive Sampling," Working Papers Series 116, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    5. Flávia Mourão Graminho, 2006. "A Neoclassical Analysis of the Brazilian "Lost-Decades"," Working Papers Series 123, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    6. Aloísio P. Araújo & José Valentim M. Vicente, 2006. "Contagion, Bankruptcy and Social Welfare Analysis in a Financial Economy with Risk Regulation Constraint," Working Papers Series 118, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    7. Marcelo Y. Takami & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2007. "Evaluation of Default Risk for The Brazilian Banking Sector," Working Papers Series 135, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Ricardo Schechtman, 2017. "Joint Validation of Credit Rating PDs under Default Correlation," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(2), pages 235-282, June.
    9. Gilneu F. A. Vivan & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2007. "A New Proposal for Collection and Generation of Information on Financial Institutions' Risk: the case of derivatives," Working Papers Series 133, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    10. Areosa, Waldyr Dutra & Areosa, Marta B.M., 2016. "The inequality channel of monetary transmission," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 214-230.
    11. Barbara Alemanni & José Renato Haas Ornelas, 2006. "Herding Behavior by Equity Foreign Investors on Emerging Markets," Working Papers Series 125, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    12. de Area Leão Pereira, Eder Johnson & da Silva, Marcus Fernandes & Pereira, H.B.B., 2017. "Econophysics: Past and present," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 251-261.
    13. de Souza Ramser, Claudia Aline & Souza, Adriano Mendonça & Souza, Francisca Mendonça & da Veiga, Claudimar Pereira & da Silva, Wesley Vieira, 2019. "The importance of principal components in studying mineral prices using vector autoregressive models: Evidence from the Brazilian economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 9-21.
    14. Benjamin M. Tabak, 2006. "The Dynamic Relationship Between Stock Prices And Exchange Rates: Evidence For Brazil," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(08), pages 1377-1396.

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