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Gas Storage Valuation Using a Monte Carlo Method

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Boogert

    (Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, Birkbeck)

  • Cyriel de Jong

Abstract

Developed countries increasingly rely on gas storage for security of supply. Widespread deregulation has created markets that help assign an objective value to existing and new to build storages. Storage valuation is nevertheless a challenging task if we consider both the financial and physical aspects of storage. In this paper we develop a Monte Carlo valuation method, which can incorporate realistic gas price dynamics and complex physical constraints. In specific we extend the Least Squares Monte Carlo method for American options to storage valuation. We include numerical results and show ways to improve computational speed.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Boogert & Cyriel de Jong, 2007. "Gas Storage Valuation Using a Monte Carlo Method," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0704, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbk:bbkefp:0704
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    File URL: https://eprints.bbk.ac.uk/id/eprint/43979/1/43979.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Leif Andersen & Mark Broadie, 2004. "Primal-Dual Simulation Algorithm for Pricing Multidimensional American Options," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1222-1234, September.
    2. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 113-147.
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    7. N. Meinshausen & B. M. Hambly, 2004. "Monte Carlo Methods For The Valuation Of Multiple‐Exercise Options," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(4), pages 557-583, October.
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