IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arz/wpaper/eres2005_323.html

Assessing the Time-Varying Interest Rate Sensitivity of Real Estate Securities

Author

Listed:
  • Simon Stevenson
  • Pat Wilson
  • Ralf Zurbruegg

Abstract

This study aims to examine the relationship between interest rate movements and the price reaction of UK property stocks. While previous exists concerning the sensitivity of indirect real estate vehicles to interest rates, this study extends this literature by examining the time-varying sensitivity of property companies. Unlike REITs, which are limited in the level of leverage they can utilize, property companies are generally highly geared stocks, making the impact of interest rates highly important to the firms. Not only should interest rate movements have an impact due to their impact on the real economy and the direct real estate markets, but there will also be a direct impact upon the stocks due to their highly geared nature. A large number of studies have examined interest rate sensitivity in a real estate context, with a large number having examined REITs (e.g. Chen et al., 1997, Chen & Tzang, 1988, Liang & Webb, 1995, Ling & Naranjo, 1997, McCue & Kling, 1994, Mueller & Pauley, 1995, Swanson et al, 2002). This study extends this literature and particularly those recent studies to have examined time-varying aspects of real estate securities (Devaney, 2001). The paper also utilizes the broader literature that has analyzed the interest rate sensitivity of stocks generally. In particular, there is a large collection of papers to have examined the issue in specific relation to bank stocks (Choi et al, 1992, Elyasiani & Mansur, 1998 and Flannery et al., 1997). The data used in this study comprises of data over the period 1993 through 2003. The FTSE Property sector index is used to represent UK property stocks. The overnight Sterling LIBOR is used as a proxy for market rates. The paper examines the timevarying sensitivity of property stocks using a GARCH based framework. For comparative purposes, and in particular to allow comparisons with the studies of bank stock reaction, we also examine the reaction of property company stock prices to discount rate announcements. Bank of England base rate changes are used in this context to examine the immediate reaction to central bank rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Stevenson & Pat Wilson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2005. "Assessing the Time-Varying Interest Rate Sensitivity of Real Estate Securities," ERES eres2005_323, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2005_323
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2005-323
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Don Bredin & Gerard O’Reilly & Simon Stevenson, 2007. "Monetary Shocks and REIT Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 315-331, October.
    2. James Chong & Alexandra Krystalogianni & Simon Stevenson, 2012. "Dynamic correlations between REIT sub-sectors and the implications for diversification," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1089-1109, July.
    3. Sharma Manu, 2022. "Comparative Analysis: Influence of Interest Rates on Returns of Real Estate Private Equity Index and Real Estate Public Equity Index," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 30(4), pages 17-24, December.
    4. Paraskevi Katsiampa & Kyriaki Begiazi, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the Scottish housing market by property type," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(4), pages 559-583, September.
    5. Alexey Akimov & Simon Stevenson & Maxim Zagonov, 2015. "Public Real Estate and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Cross-Country Study," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 503-540, November.
    6. Alexey Akimov & Simon Stevenson, 2013. "Securitised Real Estate Regime-Switching Behaviour and the Relationship with Market Interest Rates," ERES eres2013_346, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    7. James Chong & Alexandra Krystalogianni & Simon Stevenson, "undated". "Dynamic Correlations across REIT Sub-Sectors," Real Estate & Planning Working Papers rep-wp2011-07, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    8. Chyi Lin Lee & Simon Stevenson & Ming‐Long Lee, 2018. "Low‐frequency volatility of real estate securities and macroeconomic risk," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 311-342, November.
    9. Bruce Morley & Dennis Thomas, 2016. "An Empirical Analysis of UK House Price Risk Variation by Property Type," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 6, pages 45-56, May.
    10. Chee Seng Cheong & Patrick J. Wilson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2009. "An analysis of the long‐run impact of fixed income and equity market performance on Australian and UK securitised property markets," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(3), pages 259-276, April.
    11. Lee, Chyi Lin & Stevenson, Simon & Cho, Hyunbum, 2022. "Listed real estate futures trading, market efficiency, and direct real estate linkages: International evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    12. Asia Aman, 2019. "Are CDS Spreads Sensitive to the Term Structure of the Yield Curve? A Sector-Wise Analysis under Various Market Conditions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-13, September.
    13. Dimitrios Gounopoulos & Kyriaki Kosmidou & Dimitrios Kousenidis & Victoria Patsika, 2019. "The investigation of the dynamic linkages between real estate market and stock market in Greece," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(7), pages 647-669, May.
    14. Kyriaki Begiazi & Paraskevi Katsiampa, 2019. "Modelling UK House Prices with Structural Breaks and Conditional Variance Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 290-309, February.
    15. Elyas Elyasiani & Iqbal Mansur & Jill Wetmore, 2010. "Real-Estate Risk Effects on Financial Institutions’ Stock Return Distribution: a Bivariate GARCH Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 89-107, January.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2005_323. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Architexturez Imprints (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eressea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.