IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/cond-mat-0312560.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Power law for the calm-time interval of price changes

Author

Listed:
  • Taisei Kaizoji
  • Michiyo Kaizoji

Abstract

In this paper, we describe a newly discovered statistical property of time series data for daily price changes. We conducted quantitative investigation of the {\it calm-time intervals} of price changes for 800 companies listed in the Tokyo Stock Exchange, and for the Nikkei 225 index over a 27-year period from January 4, 1975 to December 28, 2001. A calm-time interval is defined as the interval between two successive price changes above a fixed threshold. We found that the calm-time interval distribution of price changes obeys a power law decay. Furthermore, we show that the power-law exponent decreases monotonically with respect to the threshold. Keyword: econophysics, stock price changes, calm time interval, power-laws; PACS: 89.90.+n; 05.40.Df;

Suggested Citation

  • Taisei Kaizoji & Michiyo Kaizoji, 2003. "Power law for the calm-time interval of price changes," Papers cond-mat/0312560, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2006.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/0312560
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/cond-mat/0312560
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Enrico Scalas & Rudolf Gorenflo & Hugh Luckock & Francesco Mainardi & Maurizio Mantelli & Marco Raberto, 2004. "Anomalous waiting times in high-frequency financial data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(6), pages 695-702.
    2. Marco Raberto & Enrico Scalas & Rudolf Gorenflo & Francesco Mainardi, 2000. "The waiting-time distribution of LIFFE bond futures," Papers cond-mat/0012497, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chi Zhang & Zhengning Pu & Qin Zhou, 2018. "Sustainable Energy Consumption in Northeast Asia: A Case from China’s Fuel Oil Futures Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Askery Canabarro & Boris Podobnik & H. Eugene Stanley & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Early warning of large volatilities based on recurrence interval analysis in Chinese stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 1713-1724, November.
    3. Enrico Scalas, 2006. "Five Years of Continuous-time Random Walks in Econophysics," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Akira Namatame & Taisei Kaizouji & Yuuji Aruka (ed.), The Complex Networks of Economic Interactions, pages 3-16, Springer.
    4. Xie, Wen-Jie & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2014. "Extreme value statistics and recurrence intervals of NYMEX energy futures volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 8-17.
    5. Enrico Scalas & Rudolf Gorenflo & Hugh Luckock & Francesco Mainardi & Maurizio Mantelli & Marco Raberto, 2004. "Anomalous waiting times in high-frequency financial data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(6), pages 695-702.
    6. Scalas, Enrico & Kaizoji, Taisei & Kirchler, Michael & Huber, Jürgen & Tedeschi, Alessandra, 2006. "Waiting times between orders and trades in double-auction markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 366(C), pages 463-471.
    7. Kaizoji, Taisei, 2004. "Inflation and deflation in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 662-668.
    8. Ni, Xiao-Hui & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Gu, Gao-Feng & Ren, Fei & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2010. "Scaling and memory in the non-Poisson process of limit order cancelation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2751-2761.
    9. Shapoval, A., 2010. "Prediction problem for target events based on the inter-event waiting time," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(22), pages 5145-5154.
    10. Scalas, Enrico, 2006. "The application of continuous-time random walks in finance and economics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 362(2), pages 225-239.
    11. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034.
    12. Suo, Yuan-Yuan & Wang, Dong-Hua & Li, Sai-Ping, 2015. "Risk estimation of CSI 300 index spot and futures in China from a new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 344-353.
    13. Tabak, B.M. & Takami, M.Y. & Cajueiro, D.O. & Petitinga, A., 2009. "Quantifying price fluctuations in the Brazilian stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(1), pages 59-62.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Scalas, Enrico & Kaizoji, Taisei & Kirchler, Michael & Huber, Jürgen & Tedeschi, Alessandra, 2006. "Waiting times between orders and trades in double-auction markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 366(C), pages 463-471.
    2. Ren, Fei & Gu, Gao-Feng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2009. "Scaling and memory in the return intervals of realized volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(22), pages 4787-4796.
    3. Langlands, T.A.M., 2006. "Solution of a modified fractional diffusion equation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 367(C), pages 136-144.
    4. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2009. "Detrended fluctuation analysis of intertrade durations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(4), pages 433-440.
    5. Du, Bian & Zhu, Hongliang & Zhao, Jingdong, 2016. "Optimal execution in high-frequency trading with Bayesian learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 767-777.
    6. Ni, Xiao-Hui & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Gu, Gao-Feng & Ren, Fei & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2010. "Scaling and memory in the non-Poisson process of limit order cancelation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2751-2761.
    7. Ponta, Linda & Trinh, Mailan & Raberto, Marco & Scalas, Enrico & Cincotti, Silvano, 2019. "Modeling non-stationarities in high-frequency financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 173-196.
    8. Takero Ibuki & Jun-ichi Inoue, 2011. "Response of double-auction markets to instantaneous Selling–Buying signals with stochastic Bid–Ask spread," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 6(2), pages 93-120, November.
    9. Álvaro Cartea, 2013. "Derivatives pricing with marked point processes using tick-by-tick data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 111-123, January.
    10. Scalas, Enrico, 2006. "The application of continuous-time random walks in finance and economics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 362(2), pages 225-239.
    11. Scalas, Enrico, 2007. "Mixtures of compound Poisson processes as models of tick-by-tick financial data," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 33-40.
    12. Enrico Scalas, 2006. "Five Years of Continuous-time Random Walks in Econophysics," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Akira Namatame & Taisei Kaizouji & Yuuji Aruka (ed.), The Complex Networks of Economic Interactions, pages 3-16, Springer.
    13. Niu, Hongli & Wang, Jun & Lu, Yunfan, 2016. "Fluctuation behaviors of financial return volatility duration," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 448(C), pages 30-40.
    14. Tarasov, Vasily E., 2020. "Fractional econophysics: Market price dynamics with memory effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    15. Rafał Weron & Ingve Simonsen, 2006. "Blackouts, risk, and fat-tailed distributions," Springer Books, in: Hideki Takayasu (ed.), Practical Fruits of Econophysics, pages 215-219, Springer.
    16. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Scaling in the distribution of intertrade durations of Chinese stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(23), pages 5818-5825.
    17. Politi, Mauro & Scalas, Enrico, 2007. "Activity spectrum from waiting-time distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(1), pages 43-48.
    18. Vasily E. Tarasov, 2019. "On History of Mathematical Economics: Application of Fractional Calculus," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-28, June.
    19. Ren, Fei & Guo, Liang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2009. "Statistical properties of volatility return intervals of Chinese stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(6), pages 881-890.
    20. James Primbs & Muruhan Rathinam, 2009. "Trader Behavior and its Effect on Asset Price Dynamics," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 151-181.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/0312560. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.