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AlphaPADI: Formulaic Alpha Discovery via Pool-Aware Hierarchical Discrete Diffusion

Author

Listed:
  • Yanzheng Jin
  • Pengyang Shao
  • Yunshan Ma
  • Haowen Pan
  • Naixin Zhai
  • Chen-Hui Song
  • Fei Shen
  • Kenji Kawaguchi

Abstract

Formulaic alpha discovery seeks symbolic expressions that predict cross-sectional asset returns. In deployment, multiple formulas are combined into an alpha pool, where each formula is valued through the complementary information it contributes to joint predictive performance. While Reinforcement Learning and Generative Flow Networks have emerged as promising paradigms for generating formulaic alphas, existing frameworks face three related challenges. First, generating formulas individually leaves pool context and inter-formula complementarity outside the generative state. Second, formula-wise generation lacks a unified mechanism for preserving and revising structures at different levels. Third, pool-level rewards jointly reflect predictive performance and redundancy but cannot be differentiated directly through symbolic evaluation to train the generator. To overcome these challenges, we introduce AlphaPADI (Formulaic Alpha Discovery via Pool-Aware Hierarchical Discrete Diffusion), a novel framework built around three components: (1) grammar-constrained buffer initialization that constructs syntactically valid pool candidates, (2) pool-aware hierarchical diffusion that reconstructs complete pools at multiple structural scales under the current pool context, and (3) reward-guided pool refinement that evaluates joint predictive performance and inner diversity, updates the elite buffer, and trains the reverse model through reconstruction and preference learning. Empirical results on the Chinese and U.S. stock markets demonstrate that AlphaPADI outperforms the evaluated baselines in both predictive and portfolio performance, thereby validating pool-aware generation as an effective framework for automated alpha discovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Yanzheng Jin & Pengyang Shao & Yunshan Ma & Haowen Pan & Naixin Zhai & Chen-Hui Song & Fei Shen & Kenji Kawaguchi, 2026. "AlphaPADI: Formulaic Alpha Discovery via Pool-Aware Hierarchical Discrete Diffusion," Papers 2610.04959, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2610.04959
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Junjie Zhao & Chengxi Zhang & Min Qin & Peng Yang, 2024. "QuantFactor REINFORCE: Mining Steady Formulaic Alpha Factors with Variance-bounded REINFORCE," Papers 2409.05144, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2025.
    2. Shihao Gu & Bryan Kelly & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 33(5), pages 2223-2273.
    3. Tianping Zhang & Yuanqi Li & Yifei Jin & Jian Li, 2020. "AutoAlpha: an Efficient Hierarchical Evolutionary Algorithm for Mining Alpha Factors in Quantitative Investment," Papers 2002.08245, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    4. Zura Kakushadze, 2016. "101 Formulaic Alphas," Papers 1601.00991, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.
    5. Shihao Gu & Bryan Kelly & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 2223-2273.
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