IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2606.20903.html

Reinforcement Learning for Risk-Sensitive Investment Management: a Free Energy--Entropy Duality Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Sebastien Lleo
  • Wolfgang Runggaldier

Abstract

This paper develops a reinforcement-learning approach to continuous-time risk-sensitive benchmarked asset allocation in a partly model-based setting. The benchmarked problem does not directly fit the standard Markovian stochastic-control template: the state is uncontrolled, whereas the terminal reward contains a controlled It\^o integral. We use free energy-entropy duality to reformulate the problem as a linear-quadratic-Gaussian stochastic differential game under an equivalent probability measure, yielding explicit finite- and infinite-horizon saddle-point solutions. This structure guides a continuous-time $q$-learning actor-critic method: the quadratic value function motivates the critic, while the affine saddle-point controls motivate deterministic actors for the portfolio allocation and adversarial control. The learned allocation admits an economic interpretation through fractional Kelly decompositions. A proof-of-concept implementation calibrated to U.S. equity data shows that the actors learn the optimal policy with high accuracy and reveals a favorable asymmetry: the portfolio actor receives a cleaner learning signal than the auxiliary adversarial actor.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastien Lleo & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2026. "Reinforcement Learning for Risk-Sensitive Investment Management: a Free Energy--Entropy Duality Approach," Papers 2606.20903, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2606.20903
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2606.20903
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    2. Mark Davis & SEBastien Lleo, 2008. "Risk-sensitive benchmarked asset management," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 415-426.
    3. Yanwei Jia, 2024. "Continuous-time Risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning via Quadratic Variation Penalty," Papers 2404.12598, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    4. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    5. Sebastien Lleo & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2026. "Risk-Sensitive Investment Management via Free Energy-Entropy Duality," Papers 2604.15463, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
    6. Yanwei Jia & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Policy Evaluation and Temporal-Difference Learning in Continuous Time and Space: A Martingale Approach," Papers 2108.06655, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    7. Sebastien Lleo & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2026. "Exploratory Randomization for Discrete-Time Risk-Sensitive Benchmarked Investment Management with Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2603.00738, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mark H.A. Davis & Sébastien Lleo, 2021. "Risk‐sensitive benchmarked asset management with expert forecasts," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1162-1189, October.
    2. Sebastien Lleo & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2026. "Risk-Sensitive Investment Management via Free Energy-Entropy Duality," Papers 2604.15463, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
    3. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Eun, Cheol & Lee, Kyuseok & Wei, Fengrong, 2023. "Dual role of the country factors in international asset pricing: The local factors and proxies for the global factors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Xu, Zhiwei & Yang, Yinan & Zhang, Teng, 2026. "Investor disagreement and state-dependent mispricing: New evidence on the analyst dispersion anomaly," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    6. Blasques, F. & Francq, Christian & Laurent, Sébastien, 2024. "Autoregressive conditional betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    7. Chang, Xiaochen & Guo, Songlin & Huang, Junkai, 2022. "Kidnapped mutual funds: Irrational preference of naive investors and fund incentive distortion," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Andrea Flori & Fabrizio Lillo & Fabio Pammolli & Alessandro Spelta, 2021. "Better to stay apart: asset commonality, bipartite network centrality, and investment strategies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 177-213, April.
    9. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Salience theory and the cross-section of stock returns: International and further evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 689-725.
    10. Cortez, Maria Céu & Andrade, Nuno & Silva, Florinda, 2022. "The environmental and financial performance of green energy investments: European evidence," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    11. Chue, Timothy K. & Gul, Ferdinand A. & Mian, G. Mujtaba, 2019. "Aggregate investor sentiment and stock return synchronicity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    12. Monica Martinez-Blasco & Vanessa Serrano & Francesc Prior & Jordi Cuadros, 2023. "Analysis of an event study using the Fama–French five-factor model: teaching approaches including spreadsheets and the R programming language," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, December.
    13. Bradrania, Reza & Veron, Jose Francisco, 2023. "The beta anomaly in the Australian stock market and the lottery demand," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    14. Bakalli, Gaetan & Guerrier, Stéphane & Scaillet, Olivier, 2023. "A penalized two-pass regression to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    15. Francesco Busato & Cuono Massimo Coletta & Maria Manganiello, 2019. "Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital: Forecasting Accuracy for U.S. REIT Sector," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 22(3), pages 401-432.
    16. Po-Hsuan Hsu & Dongmei Li & Qin Li & Siew Hong Teoh & Kevin Tseng, 2022. "Valuation of New Trademarks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 257-279, January.
    17. Bagnara, Matteo & Vaucher, Benoit, 2025. "Risk diversification and extreme risk mitigation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    18. Jeong, Giho & Kang, Jangkoo & Kwon, Kyung Yoon, 2018. "Liquidity skewness premium," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 130-150.
    19. Clemens Sialm & Hanjiang Zhang, 2020. "Tax‐Efficient Asset Management: Evidence from Equity Mutual Funds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(2), pages 735-777, April.
    20. Liu, Siqi & Yin, Chao & Zeng, Yeqin, 2021. "Abnormal investment and firm performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2606.20903. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.