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Constrained Portfolio Optimization via Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) with XY-Mixers and Trotterized Initialization: A Hybrid Approach for Direct Indexing

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Mancilla
  • Theodoros D. Bouloumis
  • Frederic Goguikian

Abstract

Portfolio optimization under strict cardinality constraints is a combinatorial challenge that defies classical convex optimization techniques, particularly in the context of "Direct Indexing" and ESG-constrained mandates. In the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era, the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) offers a promising hybrid approach. However, standard QAOA implementations utilizing transverse field mixers often fail to strictly enforce hard constraints, necessitating soft penalties that distort the energy landscape. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of a constraint-preserving QAOA formulation against Simulated Annealing (SA) and Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP). We implement a specific QAOA ansatz utilizing a Dicke state initialization and an XY-mixer Hamiltonian that strictly preserves the Hamming weight of the solution, ensuring only valid portfolios of size K are explored. Furthermore, we introduce a Trotterized parameter initialization schedule inspired by adiabatic quantum computing to mitigate the "Barren Plateau" problem. Backtesting on a basket of 10 US equities over 2025 reveals that our QAOA approach achieves a Sharpe Ratio of 1.81, significantly outperforming Simulated Annealing (1.31) and HRP (0.98). We further analyze the operational implications of the algorithm's high turnover (76.8%), discussing the trade-offs between theoretical optimality and implementation costs in institutional settings.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Mancilla & Theodoros D. Bouloumis & Frederic Goguikian, 2026. "Constrained Portfolio Optimization via Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) with XY-Mixers and Trotterized Initialization: A Hybrid Approach for Direct Indexing," Papers 2602.14827, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2602.14827
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fred Glover & Gary Kochenberger & Yu Du, 2019. "Quantum Bridge Analytics I: a tutorial on formulating and using QUBO models," 4OR, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 335-371, December.
    2. Michaud, Richard O. & Michaud, Robert O., 2008. "Efficient Asset Management: A Practical Guide to Stock Portfolio Optimization and Asset Allocation," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 2, number 9780195331912.
    3. Dimitris Bertsimas & Christopher Darnell & Robert Soucy, 1999. "Portfolio Construction Through Mixed-Integer Programming at Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo and Company," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 29(1), pages 49-66, February.
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