IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2511.03076.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Inferential Theory for Pricing Errors with Latent Factors and Firm Characteristics

Author

Listed:
  • Jungjun Choi
  • Ming Yuan

Abstract

We study factor models that combine latent factors with firm characteristics and propose a new framework for modeling, estimating, and inferring pricing errors. Following Zhang (2024), our approach decomposes mispricing into two distinct components: inside alpha, explained by firm characteristics but orthogonal to factor exposures, and outside alpha, orthogonal to both factors and characteristics. Our model generalizes those developed recently such as Kelly et al. (2019) and Zhang (2024), resolving issues of orthogonality, basis dependence, and unit sensitivity. Methodologically, we develop estimators grounded in low-rank methods with explicit debiasing, providing closed-form solutions and a rigorous inferential theory that accommodates a growing number of characteristics and relaxes standard assumptions on sample dimensions. Empirically, using U.S. stock returns from 2000-2019, we document strong evidence of both inside and outside alphas, with the former showing industry-level co-movements and the latter reflecting idiosyncratic shocks beyond firm fundamentals. Our framework thus unifies statistical and characteristic-based approaches to factor modeling, offering both theoretical advances and new insights into the structure of pricing errors.

Suggested Citation

  • Jungjun Choi & Ming Yuan, 2025. "Inferential Theory for Pricing Errors with Latent Factors and Firm Characteristics," Papers 2511.03076, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2511.03076
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.03076
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2511.03076. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.