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Quantum Computational Algorithms for Derivative Pricing and Credit Risk in a Regime Switching Economy

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  • Eric Ghysels
  • Jack Morgan
  • Hamed Mohammadbagherpoor

Abstract

Quantum computers are not yet up to the task of providing computational advantages for practical stochastic diffusion models commonly used by financial analysts. In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic processes that are both realistic in terms of mimicking financial market risks as well as more amenable to potential quantum computational advantages. The type of models we study are based on a regime switching volatility model driven by a Markov chain with observable states. The basic model features a Geometric Brownian Motion with drift and volatility parameters determined by the finite states of a Markov chain. We study algorithms to estimate credit risk and option pricing on a gate-based quantum computer. These models bring us closer to realistic market settings, and therefore quantum computing closer the realm of practical applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Ghysels & Jack Morgan & Hamed Mohammadbagherpoor, 2023. "Quantum Computational Algorithms for Derivative Pricing and Credit Risk in a Regime Switching Economy," Papers 2311.00825, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.00825
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roger Lord & Remmert Koekkoek & Dick Van Dijk, 2010. "A comparison of biased simulation schemes for stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 177-194.
    2. John Buffington & Robert J. Elliott, 2002. "American Options With Regime Switching," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(05), pages 497-514.
    3. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
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    Cited by:

    1. Raphael Auer & Angela Dupont & Leonardo Gambacorta & Joon Suk Park & Koji Takahashi & Andras Valko, 2024. "Quantum computing and the financial system: opportunities and risks," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 149.
    2. Isaiah Hull & Or Sattath & Eleni Diamanti & Göran Wendin, 2024. "Quantum Algorithms," Contributions to Economics, in: Quantum Technology for Economists, chapter 0, pages 37-103, Springer.

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