IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2305.07166.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Robust Equilibrium Strategy for Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection

Author

Listed:
  • Mengge Li
  • Shuaijie Qian
  • Chao Zhou

Abstract

The classical mean-variance portfolio selection problem induces time-inconsistent (precommited) strategies (see Zhou and Li (2000)). To overcome this time-inconsistency, Basak and Chabakauri (2010) introduce the game theoretical approach and look for (sub-game perfect Nash) equilibrium strategies, which is solved from the corresponding partial differential equations (PDE) system. In their model, the investor perfectly knows the drift and volatility of the assets. However, in reality investors only have an estimate on them, e.g, a 95% confidence interval. In this case, some literature (e.g., Pham, Wei and Zhou (2022)) derives the optimal precommited strategy under the worst parameters, which is the robust control. The relation between the equilibrium strategy and the PDE system has not been justified when incorporating robust control. In this paper, we consider a general dynamic mean-variance framework and propose a novel definition of the robust equilibrium strategy. Under our definition, a classical solution to the corresponding PDE system implies a robust equilibrium strategy. We then explicitly solve for some special examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Mengge Li & Shuaijie Qian & Chao Zhou, 2023. "Robust Equilibrium Strategy for Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection," Papers 2305.07166, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2305.07166
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.07166
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "The Utility of Wealth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(2), pages 151-151.
    2. Zeng, Yan & Li, Danping & Gu, Ailing, 2016. "Robust equilibrium reinsurance-investment strategy for a mean–variance insurer in a model with jumps," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 138-152.
    3. Qian Lin & Frank Riedel, 2014. "Optimal consumption and portfolio choice with ambiguity," Papers 1401.1639, arXiv.org.
    4. Pascal J. Maenhout, 2004. "Robust Portfolio Rules and Asset Pricing," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(4), pages 951-983.
    5. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    6. Lorenzo Garlappi & Raman Uppal & Tan Wang, 2007. "Portfolio Selection with Parameter and Model Uncertainty: A Multi-Prior Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(1), pages 41-81, January.
    7. Huyên Pham & Xiaoli Wei & Chao Zhou, 2022. "Portfolio diversification and model uncertainty: A robust dynamic mean‐variance approach," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1), pages 349-404, January.
    8. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci & Xun Yu Zhou, 2014. "Mean–Variance Portfolio Optimization With State-Dependent Risk Aversion," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 1-24, January.
    9. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    10. Christian Flor & Linda Larsen, 2014. "Robust portfolio choice with stochastic interest rates," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 243-265, May.
    11. Min Dai & Hanqing Jin & Steven Kou & Yuhong Xu, 2021. "A Dynamic Mean-Variance Analysis for Log Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 1093-1108, February.
    12. Branger, Nicole & Larsen, Linda Sandris, 2013. "Robust portfolio choice with uncertainty about jump and diffusion risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5036-5047.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zeng, Yan & Li, Danping & Gu, Ailing, 2016. "Robust equilibrium reinsurance-investment strategy for a mean–variance insurer in a model with jumps," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 138-152.
    2. Zeng, Yan & Li, Danping & Chen, Zheng & Yang, Zhou, 2018. "Ambiguity aversion and optimal derivative-based pension investment with stochastic income and volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 70-103.
    3. Peng, Xingchun & Chen, Fenge & Wang, Wenyuan, 2021. "Robust optimal investment and reinsurance for an insurer with inside information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 15-30.
    4. Xing Jin & Dan Luo & Xudong Zeng, 2021. "Tail Risk and Robust Portfolio Decisions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 3254-3275, May.
    5. van Staden, Pieter M. & Dang, Duy-Minh & Forsyth, Peter A., 2021. "The surprising robustness of dynamic Mean-Variance portfolio optimization to model misspecification errors," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(2), pages 774-792.
    6. Li, Danping & Young, Virginia R., 2019. "Optimal reinsurance to minimize the discounted probability of ruin under ambiguity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 143-152.
    7. Wang, Yuanping & Mu, Congming, 2019. "Can ambiguity about rare disasters explain equity premium puzzle?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1-1.
    8. Gu, Ailing & Viens, Frederi G. & Yi, Bo, 2017. "Optimal reinsurance and investment strategies for insurers with mispricing and model ambiguity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 235-249.
    9. Qiang Zhang & Qianqian Cui, 2024. "Robust Investment and Proportional Reinsurance Strategy with Delay and Jumps in a Stochastic Stackelberg Differential Game," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 1-34, December.
    10. Lin, Qian & Sun, Xianming & Zhou, Chao, 2020. "Horizon-unbiased investment with ambiguity," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    11. Felix Fie{ss}inger & Mitja Stadje, 2023. "Time-Consistent Asset Allocation for Risk Measures in a L\'evy Market," Papers 2305.09471, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    12. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    13. Agostino Capponi & Sveinn Ólafsson & Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2022. "Personalized Robo-Advising: Enhancing Investment Through Client Interaction," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2485-2512, April.
    14. Julian Holzermann, 2023. "Optimal Investment with Stochastic Interest Rates and Ambiguity," Papers 2306.13343, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    15. Chen, Zhiping & Yang, Peng, 2020. "Robust optimal reinsurance–investment strategy with price jumps and correlated claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 27-46.
    16. Horváth, Ferenc, 2017. "Essays on robust asset pricing," Other publications TiSEM e54d7b33-1f27-4b0e-9f84-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    17. Bingyan Han & Chi Seng Pun & Hoi Ying Wong, 2023. "Robust Time-inconsistent Linear-Quadratic Stochastic Controls: A Stochastic Differential Game Approach," Papers 2306.16982, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2025.
    18. David Landriault & Bin Li & Hong Li & Yuanyuan Zhang, 2024. "Contract Structure and Risk Aversion in Longevity Risk Transfers," Papers 2409.08914, arXiv.org.
    19. Panos Xidonas & Ralph Steuer & Christis Hassapis, 2020. "Robust portfolio optimization: a categorized bibliographic review," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 292(1), pages 533-552, September.
    20. Cong, F. & Oosterlee, C.W., 2016. "On pre-commitment aspects of a time-consistent strategy for a mean-variance investor," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 178-193.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2305.07166. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.