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Partial Sum Processes of Residual-Based and Wald-type Break-Point Statistics in Time Series Regression Models

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  • Christis Katsouris

Abstract

We revisit classical asymptotics when testing for a structural break in linear regression models by obtaining the limit theory of residual-based and Wald-type processes. First, we establish the Brownian bridge limiting distribution of these test statistics. Second, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the partial-sum processes in nonstationary (linear) time series regression models. Although, the particular comparisons of these two different modelling environments is done from the perspective of the partial-sum processes, it emphasizes that the presence of nuisance parameters can change the asymptotic behaviour of the functionals under consideration. Simulation experiments verify size distortions when testing for a break in nonstationary time series regressions which indicates that the Brownian bridge limit cannot provide a suitable asymptotic approximation in this case. Further research is required to establish the cause of size distortions under the null hypothesis of parameter stability.

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  • Christis Katsouris, 2022. "Partial Sum Processes of Residual-Based and Wald-type Break-Point Statistics in Time Series Regression Models," Papers 2202.00141, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2202.00141
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    Cited by:

    1. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Bootstrapping Nonstationary Autoregressive Processes with Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2307.14463, arXiv.org.
    2. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Limit Theory under Network Dependence and Nonstationarity," Papers 2308.01418, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    3. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Break-Point Date Estimation for Nonstationary Autoregressive and Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2308.13915, arXiv.org.

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