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Expanding on Repeated Consumer Search Using Multi-Armed Bandits and Secretaries

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  • Tung Yu Marco Chan

Abstract

We seek to take a different approach in deriving the optimal search policy for the repeated consumer search model found in Fishman and Rob (1995) with the main motivation of dropping the assumption of prior knowledge of the price distribution $F(p)$ in each period. We will do this by incorporating the famous multi-armed bandit problem (MAB). We start by modifying the MAB framework to fit the setting of the repeated consumer search model and formulate the objective as a dynamic optimization problem. Then, given any sequence of exploration, we assign a value to each store in that sequence using Bellman equations. We then proceed to break down the problem into individual optimal stopping problems for each period which incidentally coincides with the framework of the famous secretary problem where we proceed to derive the optimal stopping policy. We will see that implementing the optimal stopping policy in each period solves the original dynamic optimization by `forward induction' reasoning.

Suggested Citation

  • Tung Yu Marco Chan, 2020. "Expanding on Repeated Consumer Search Using Multi-Armed Bandits and Secretaries," Papers 2012.11900, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2012.11900
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    1. Fishman, Arthur & Rob, Rafael, 1995. "The Durability of Information, Market Efficiency and the Size of Firms," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(1), pages 19-36, February.
    2. Reinganum, Jennifer F, 1979. "A Simple Model of Equilibrium Price Dispersion," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(4), pages 851-858, August.
    3. McCall, B P & McCall, J J, 1987. "A Sequential Study of Migration and Job Search," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 5(4), pages 452-476, October.
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