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Augmenting transferred representations for stock classification

Author

Listed:
  • Elizabeth Fons
  • Paula Dawson
  • Xiao-jun Zeng
  • John Keane
  • Alexandros Iosifidis

Abstract

Stock classification is a challenging task due to high levels of noise and volatility of stocks returns. In this paper we show that using transfer learning can help with this task, by pre-training a model to extract universal features on the full universe of stocks of the S$\&$P500 index and then transferring it to another model to directly learn a trading rule. Transferred models present more than double the risk-adjusted returns than their counterparts trained from zero. In addition, we propose the use of data augmentation on the feature space defined as the output of a pre-trained model (i.e. augmenting the aggregated time-series representation). We compare this augmentation approach with the standard one, i.e. augmenting the time-series in the input space. We show that augmentation methods on the feature space leads to $20\%$ increase in risk-adjusted return compared to a model trained with transfer learning but without augmentation.

Suggested Citation

  • Elizabeth Fons & Paula Dawson & Xiao-jun Zeng & John Keane & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2020. "Augmenting transferred representations for stock classification," Papers 2011.04545, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.04545
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krauss, Christopher & Do, Xuan Anh & Huck, Nicolas, 2017. "Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(2), pages 689-702.
    2. Weiwei Jiang, 2020. "Applications of deep learning in stock market prediction: recent progress," Papers 2003.01859, arXiv.org.
    3. Adriano Koshiyama & Sebastian Flennerhag & Stefano B. Blumberg & Nick Firoozye & Philip Treleaven, 2020. "QuantNet: Transferring Learning Across Systematic Trading Strategies," Papers 2004.03445, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    4. Wei Bao & Jun Yue & Yulei Rao, 2017. "A deep learning framework for financial time series using stacked autoencoders and long-short term memory," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-24, July.
    5. Christopher Krauss & Anh Do & Nicolas Huck, 2017. "Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500," Post-Print hal-01768895, HAL.
    6. Fischer, Thomas & Krauss, Christopher, 2018. "Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(2), pages 654-669.
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