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Canonical Supermartingale Couplings

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  • Marcel Nutz
  • Florian Stebegg

Abstract

Two probability distributions $\mu$ and $\nu$ in second stochastic order can be coupled by a supermartingale, and in fact by many. Is there a canonical choice? We construct and investigate two couplings which arise as optimizers for constrained Monge-Kantorovich optimal transport problems where only supermartingales are allowed as transports. Much like the Hoeffding-Fr\'echet coupling of classical transport and its symmetric counterpart, the antitone coupling, these can be characterized by order-theoretic minimality properties, as simultaneous optimal transports for certain classes of reward (or cost) functions, and through no-crossing conditions on their supports; however, our two couplings have asymmetric geometries. Remarkably, supermartingale optimal transport decomposes into classical and martingale transport in several ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcel Nutz & Florian Stebegg, 2016. "Canonical Supermartingale Couplings," Papers 1609.02867, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1609.02867
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Marcel Nutz & Florian Stebegg & Xiaowei Tan, 2017. "Multiperiod Martingale Transport," Papers 1703.10588, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.

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