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Liquidity, risk measures, and concentration of measure

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  • Daniel Lacker

Abstract

Expanding on techniques of concentration of measure, we develop a quantitative framework for modeling liquidity risk using convex risk measures. The fundamental objects of study are curves of the form $(\rho(\lambda X))_{\lambda \ge 0}$, where $\rho$ is a convex risk measure and $X$ a random variable, and we call such a curve a \emph{liquidity risk profile}. The shape of a liquidity risk profile is intimately linked with the tail behavior of the underlying $X$ for some notable classes of risk measures, namely shortfall risk measures. We exploit this link to systematically bound liquidity risk profiles from above by other real functions $\gamma$, deriving tractable necessary and sufficient conditions for \emph{concentration inequalities} of the form $\rho(\lambda X) \le \gamma(\lambda)$, for all $\lambda \ge 0$. These concentration inequalities admit useful dual representations related to transport inequalities, and this leads to efficient uniform bounds for liquidity risk profiles for large classes of $X$. On the other hand, some modest new mathematical results emerge from this analysis, including a new characterization of some classical transport-entropy inequalities. Lastly, the analysis is deepened by means of a surprising connection between time consistency properties of law invariant risk measures and the tensorization of concentration inequalities.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Lacker, 2015. "Liquidity, risk measures, and concentration of measure," Papers 1510.07033, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1510.07033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Bartl, 2016. "Exponential utility maximization under model uncertainty for unbounded endowments," Papers 1610.00999, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2019.
    2. Felix-Benedikt Liebrich & Gregor Svindland, 2017. "Model Spaces for Risk Measures," Papers 1703.01137, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    3. Tangpi, Ludovic, 2019. "Concentration of dynamic risk measures in a Brownian filtration," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(5), pages 1477-1491.
    4. Daniel Lacker, 2015. "Law invariant risk measures and information divergences," Papers 1510.07030, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2016.
    5. Liebrich, Felix-Benedikt & Svindland, Gregor, 2017. "Model spaces for risk measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 150-165.

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