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Intraday Patterns in the Cross-section of Stock Returns

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  • Steven L. Heston
  • Robert A. Korajczyk
  • Ronnie Sadka

Abstract

Motivated by the literature on investment flows and optimal trading, we examine intraday predictability in the cross-section of stock returns. We find a striking pattern of return continuation at half-hour intervals that are exact multiples of a trading day, and this effect lasts for at least 40 trading days. Volume, order imbalance, volatility, and bid-ask spreads exhibit similar patterns, but do not explain the return patterns. We also show that short-term return reversal is driven by temporary liquidity imbalances lasting less than an hour and bid-ask bounce. Timing trades can reduce execution costs by the equivalent of the effective spread.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven L. Heston & Robert A. Korajczyk & Ronnie Sadka, 2010. "Intraday Patterns in the Cross-section of Stock Returns," Papers 1005.3535, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1005.3535
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