IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/queddp/275215.html

The 1988 Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Evaluation of the Transition Effects

Author

Listed:
  • Harris, Richard G.
  • Kwakwa, Victoria

Abstract

Canada and the United States have implemented legislation to form a free trade area in the classic sense. The Canada America Free Trade Agreement, or CAFTA, is to be phased in over a ten year period which began on January 1, 1989. There are many elements to the agreement, but the most significant is the phased in reduction of tariffs on bilateral trade over a ten year period, plus removal of some significant non-tariff barriers. In addition the agreement sets out a new mechanism for resolving trade disputes involving the application of countervail and anti-dumping laws in both countries. This paper reports some estimates of the transition effect of the agreement using a sequenced general equilibrium model incorporating imperfect competition, scale economies and some labour market rigidities. Entry and exit dynamics are explicitly incorporated in the model simulations. Besides offering what we think are illuminating analyses of the agreement itself, the results in comparison to the static general equilibrium estimates offer support for the view that it is important in applied policy analysis to pay attention to adjustment and dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Harris, Richard G. & Kwakwa, Victoria, 1989. "The 1988 Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Evaluation of the Transition Effects," Queen's Institute for Economic Research Discussion Papers 275215, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:queddp:275215
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.275215
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/275215/files/QUEENS-IER-PAPER-744.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.275215?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baldwin, Robert E. & Mutti, John H. & Richardson, J. David, 1980. "Welfare effects on the United States of a significant multilateral tariff reduction," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 405-423, August.
    2. Harris, Richard, 1984. "Applied General Equilibrium Analysis of Small Open Economies with Scale Economies and Imperfect Competition," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(5), pages 1016-1032, December.
    3. David T. Coe & Francesco Gagliardi, 1985. "Nominal Wage Determination in Ten OECD Economies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 19, OECD Publishing.
    4. Orr, Dale, 1974. "The Determinants of Entry: A Sudy of the Canadian Manufacturing Industries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 56(1), pages 58-66, February.
    5. Bale, Malcolm D., 1976. "Estimates of trade-displacement costs for U.S. workers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 245-250, August.
    6. Cox, David & Harris, Richard, 1985. "Trade Liberalization and Industrial Organization: Some Estimates for Canada," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(1), pages 115-145, February.
    7. Robert M. Stern & Jonathan Francis & Bruce Schumacher, 1976. "Price Elasticities in International Trade," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-03137-5, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hazledine, Tim, 1989. "Industrial Organisation Foundations Of Trade Policy Modelling," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 33(01), pages 1-19, April.
    2. Jaime de Melo & David Tarr, 2015. "VERs under imperfect competition and foreign direct investment: A case study of the US–Japan auto VER," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Modeling Developing Countries' Policies in General Equilibrium, chapter 22, pages 461-483, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Aileen J. Thompson, 1999. "Import Competition and Market Power: Canadian Evidence," Carleton Economic Papers 99-14, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2000.
    4. Lewis, Jeffrey D. & Robinson, Sherman & Wang, Zhi, 1995. "Beyond the Uruguay Round: The implications of an Asian free trade area," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 35-90.
    5. J. David Richardson, 1989. "Empirical Research on Trade Liberalization With Imperfect Competition: A Survey," NBER Working Papers 2883, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Dirk Willenbockel, 2005. "The Price Normalisation Problem in General Equilibriun Models with Oligopoly Power: An Attempt at Perspective," GE, Growth, Math methods 0505002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Ian Keay, 2001. "An Empty Promise: Average Cost Savings And Scale Economies Among Canadian And American Manufacturers, 1910-1998," Working Paper 1002, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    8. Ian Keay, 2003. "An Empty Promise: Average Cost Savings and Scale Economies among Canadian and American Manufacturers, 1910‐1988," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 70(2), pages 374-388, October.
    9. James Markusen, 2023. "Incorporating Theory-Consistent Endogenous Markups into Applied General-Equilibrium Models," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 8(2), pages 60-99, December.
    10. Mercenier, J. & Schmitt, N., 1992. "Sunk Costs, Free-Entry Equilibrium and Trade Liberalization in Applied General Equilibrium : Implication for "Europe 1992"," Cahiers de recherche 9235, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    11. Joseph F. Francois, 2004. "Assessing the Impact of Trade Policy on Labour Markets and Production," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 99, pages 27-47.
    12. Minor, Peter J., 2010. "Time as a Barrier to Trade: A GTAP Database of ad valorem Trade Time Costs," Conference papers 331960, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    13. Harris, Richard G., 1981. "Market Structure and Trade Liberalization A General Equilibrium Assessment," Queen's Institute for Economic Research Discussion Papers 275196, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
    14. Pelkmans, Jacques & Lejour, Arjan & Schrefler, Lorna & Mustilli, Federica & Timini, Jacopo, 2014. "The Impact of TTIP: The underlying economic model and comparisons," CEPS Papers 9710, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    15. Patrick J. Kehoe & Timothy J. Kehoe, 1994. "Capturing NAFTA's impact with applied general equilibrium models," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 18(Spr), pages 17-34.
    16. Chapda Nana, Guy & Larue, Bruno & Gervais, Jean-Philippe, 2012. "Regional integration and dynamic adjustments: Evidence from gross national product functions for Canada and the United States," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 246-264.
    17. Sabine Mage-Bertomeu, 2006. "Les modèles d'équilibre général appliqués à la politique commerciale : développements récents," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 116(3), pages 357-381.
    18. Kehoe, Timothy J., 2002. "An Evaluation of the Performance of Applied General Equilibrium Models of the Impact of NAFTA," Conference papers 331066, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    19. Gu, Wulong Sawchuk, Gary Whewell, Lori, 2003. "The Effect of Tariff Reductions on Firm Size and Firm Turnover in Canadian Manufacturing," Economic Analysis (EA) Research Paper Series 2003014e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies Branch.
    20. Jean-Marc Burniaux & Jean Waelbroeck, 1995. "Le cycle de l'Uruguay et sa problématique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 46(3), pages 691-701.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:queddp:275215. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/qedquca.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.