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A Regional Equilibrium Analysis Of The Welfare Impact Of Cash Transfers: An Analysis Of Progresa In Mexico

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  • Coady, David P.
  • Harris, Rebecca Lee

Abstract

Using a regionally disaggregated computable general equilibrium model, we analyze the differential welfare impacts of a cash transfer program targeted at rural areas. The direct effect of the transfers decreases regional income differentials, but the indirect effects depend on how the program is financed. Financing the program with a more efficient tax system is also less regressive and has favorable urban impacts. The less efficient instruments result in relatively higher incomes in all rural regions, but are more regressive. The increasing share of urban poverty highlights the shortcomings of rural targeting and raises the issue of horizontal equity.

Suggested Citation

  • Coady, David P. & Harris, Rebecca Lee, 2001. "A Regional Equilibrium Analysis Of The Welfare Impact Of Cash Transfers: An Analysis Of Progresa In Mexico," TMD Discussion Papers 16303, CGIAR, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:iffp23:16303
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.16303
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Coady, David P. & Harris, Rebecca Lee, 2001. "Evaluating transfer programs within a general equilibrium framework," FCND briefs 110, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Coady, David & Harris, Rebecca Lee, 2001. "Evaluating transfer programs within a general equilibrium framework," FCND discussion papers 110, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    3. Harris, Rebecca Lee, 1999. "The Distributional Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks in Mexico: Threshold Effects in a Multi-Region CGE Model," TMD Discussion Papers 97535, CGIAR, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Coady, David P. & Harris, Rebecca Lee, 2001. "Evaluating Transfer Programs Within A General Equilibrium Framework," FCND Discussion Papers 16412, CGIAR, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Harris, Rebecca Lee, 1999. "The distributional impact of macroeconomic shocks in Mexico: threshold effects in a multi-region CGE model," TMD discussion papers 44, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Diamond, Peter A & Mirrlees, James A, 1971. "Optimal Taxation and Public Production II: Tax Rules," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(3), pages 261-278, June.
    7. David Coady, 1997. "Agricultural Pricing Policies in Developing Countries: An Application to Pakistan," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 4(1), pages 39-57, January.
    8. Diamond, Peter A & Mirrlees, James A, 1971. "Optimal Taxation and Public Production: I--Production Efficiency," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 8-27, March.
    9. Atkinson, Anthony B., 1970. "On the measurement of inequality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 244-263, September.
    10. Harris, Rebecca Lee & Coady, David P., 2001. "Evaluating Transfer Programs Within A General Equilibrium Framework," Discussion Paper Briefs 15980, CGIAR, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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