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Oil Price Volatility and Asymmetric Leverage Effects

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  • Lee, Eunhee
  • Han, Doo Bong

Abstract

This study adopts a stochastic volatility (SV) model with two asymptotic regimes and a smooth transition for oil returns. We find that SV models with a smooth transition between two regimes imply an asymmetric leverage effect with different regimes. In particular, the half-life of a negative volatility shock is longer than that of a positive shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Eunhee & Han, Doo Bong, 2016. "Oil Price Volatility and Asymmetric Leverage Effects," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 235480, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea16:235480
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/235480
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jacquier, Eric & Polson, Nicholas G. & Rossi, P.E.Peter E., 2004. "Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with fat-tails and correlated errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 185-212, September.
    2. Larsson, Karl & Nossman, Marcus, 2011. "Jumps and stochastic volatility in oil prices: Time series evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 504-514, May.
    3. Du, Xiaodong & Yu, Cindy L. & Hayes, Dermot J., 2011. "Speculation and volatility spillover in the crude oil and agricultural commodity markets: A Bayesian analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 497-503, May.
    4. Anders B. Trolle & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2009. "Unspanned Stochastic Volatility and the Pricing of Commodity Derivatives," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(11), pages 4423-4461, November.
    5. Jacquier, Eric & Polson, Nicholas G & Rossi, Peter E, 2002. "Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 69-87, January.
    6. Jacquier, Eric & Polson, Nicholas G & Rossi, Peter E, 1994. "Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models: Comments: Reply," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 413-417, October.
    7. Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1998. "Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(3), pages 361-393.
    8. repec:bla:restud:v:65:y:1998:i:3:p:361-93 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Vo, Minh T., 2009. "Regime-switching stochastic volatility: Evidence from the crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 779-788, September.
    10. Park, Joon Y., 2002. "Nonstationary nonlinear heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 383-415, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil prices; stochastic volaility; leverage effect; half-life of volatility shock; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty;

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