IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aaea11/103825.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Dynamic Price Relationships in the Grain and Cattle Markets, Pre and Post-Ethanol Mandate

Author

Listed:
  • Tejeda, Hernan A.
  • Goodwin, Barry K.

Abstract

This paper determines the dynamic interaction between prices of corn, soybean, grain sorghum (milo), wheat, feeder cattle and live (fed) cattle by taking into account the surge in corn consumption stemming from the boost of mandated ethanol production. Corn is a major carbohydrate-feed component of livestock, with grain sorghum and wheat serving as close substitutes. Moreover, soybean is an important protein-feed component. Being non-stationary data, a vector autoregressive (VAR) model (Sims, 1980) that includes an ‘error correction’ term is applied to the series; likewise known as a vector error correction (VEC) model (Engel and Granger, 1987 and Johansen, 1989). Two separate periods are estimated. The first considers prices prior to recent ethanol mandates. The second includes increased corn consumption from ethanol production, mandated by Energy Policy Acts of 2005 and 2007. Results are consistent with past literature regarding feeder and live cattle prices, among others. More importantly, we find support for the notion of modified feed rations in feedlot operations, given the increased corn prices following the post-ethanol mandated period. The finding is corroborated by two different methods, one via Granger Causality and other via impulse response functions.

Suggested Citation

  • Tejeda, Hernan A. & Goodwin, Barry K., 2011. "Dynamic Price Relationships in the Grain and Cattle Markets, Pre and Post-Ethanol Mandate," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103825, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea11:103825
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.103825
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/103825/files/Paper_AAEA_11.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.103825?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. da Silveira, Rodrigo Lanna F. & Mattos, Fabio L., 2015. "Price And Volatility Transmission In Livestock And Grain Markets: Examining The Effect Of Increasing Ethanol Production Across Countries," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205684, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Faruk Urak & Abdulbaki Bilgic & Gürkan Bozma & Wojciech J. Florkowski & Erkan Efekan, 2022. "Volatility in Live Calf, Live Sheep, and Feed Wheat Return Markets: A Threat to Food Price Stability in Turkey," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-24, April.
    3. Tejeda, Hernan A., 2012. "Time-Varying Price Interactions and Risk Management in Livestock Feed Markets – Determining the Ethanol Surge Effect," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124956, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Koirala, Krishna H. & Mishra, Ashok K. & D'Antoni, Jeremy M. & Mehlhorn, Joey E., 2015. "Energy prices and agricultural commodity prices: Testing correlation using copulas method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 430-436.
    5. Johnson, Matthew & Yu, T. Edward & Griffith, Andrew P. & Jensen, Kimberly L. & Cho, Seong-Hoon, 2015. "Regional Dynamic Price Relationships between Distillers Dried Grains and Feed Grains," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196900, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    6. Hao, Na & Colson, Gregory & Seong, Byeongchan & Park, Cheolwoo & Wetzstein, Michael, 2015. "Drought, ethanol, and livestock," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 301-307.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aaea11:103825. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.