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The Effect Of Contracting On Pricing Dynamics In The Fed Cattle Market: An Experimental Simulation Approach

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Listed:
  • Lyford, Conrad P.
  • Hicks, R. Todd
  • Ward, Clement E.
  • Trapp, James N.
  • Peel, Derrell S.

Abstract

The increased amount of contracting in many agricultural markets continues to be a source of considerable controversy. Some research indicates that increased levels of contracting lead to better prices for processors/users while other research is inconclusive. This article uses an experimental economics approach to study the effects on prices of systematic variations in contracting levels using an experimental model of the fed cattle market. Using experimental economics allowed the control of contracting levels and other variables (e.g. supply levels) that are not possible using industry data. Pricing dynamics changed considerably with increased levels of contracting, but the mean price level was found to be not related to contracting levels. The response of price to a given supply was found to increase as contracting levels increase. In addition, price variability with high levels of contracting showed long periods with relatively little adjustments followed by short periods of abrupt changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyford, Conrad P. & Hicks, R. Todd & Ward, Clement E. & Trapp, James N. & Peel, Derrell S., 2001. "The Effect Of Contracting On Pricing Dynamics In The Fed Cattle Market: An Experimental Simulation Approach," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20535, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea01:20535
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.20535
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. William G. Tomek, 1980. "Price Behavior on a Declining Terminal Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(3), pages 434-444.
    2. Friedman,Daniel & Sunder,Shyam, 1994. "Experimental Methods," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521456821.
    3. Gordon, Douglas, 1984. "Performance of Thin Futures Markets: Rice and Sunflower Seed Futures," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 36(4), pages 1-16.
    4. Ward, Clement E. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1998. "Impacts From Captive Supplies On Fed Cattle Transaction Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-21, December.
    5. Stephen R. Koontz, 1999. "Marketing Agreement Impacts in an Experimental Market for Fed Cattle," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(2), pages 347-358.
    6. Ted C. Schroeder & Rodney Jones & James Mintert & Andrew P. Barkley, 1993. "The Impact of Forward Contracting on Fed Cattle Transaction Prices," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 325-337.
    7. Anderson, John D. & Trapp, James N., 1999. "Estimated Value of Non-Price Vertical Coordination in the Fed Cattle Market," Staff Papers 232529, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    8. Elam, Emmett W., 1992. "Cash Forward Contracting Versus Hedging Of Fed Cattle, And The Impact Of Cash Contracting On Cash Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 1-13, July.
    9. Anderson, John D. & Ward, Clement E. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Peel, Derrell S. & Trapp, James N., 1998. "Experimental Simulation Of Public Information Impacts On Price Discovery And Marketing Efficiency In The Fed Cattle Market," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-17, July.
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    1. Ward, Clement E. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Peel, Derrell S. & Trapp, James N., 2001. "Lessons Learned From Research With The Fed Cattle Market Simulator," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36181, Western Agricultural Economics Association.

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