IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/izm/prcdng/200629.html

Monetary Neutrality, Home Mortgages, and the Phillips Curve

In: Proceedings of the Conference on Human and Economic Resources

Author

Listed:
  • Alan Day Haight

    (State University of New York, Cortland)

Abstract

Standard mortgage borrowing practices are incorporated into a model of the loanable funds market. Contrary to the Taylor rule (which is for short-term rates), in this model an increase in inflation causes the long-term nominal rate to rise by a smaller amount, leaving the real rate lower. In turn, the lower long-term real interest rate stimulates investment, growth, and employment. As in the recent literature on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, the long-run Phillips curve produced by this model is not vertical, and money is not neutral. Higher inflation reduces unemployment in the long run, even when inflationary expectations are fulfilled. The cause of this violation of the classical dichotomy is bounded rationality: to simplify a complex decision regarding how much to borrow, home buyers erroneously focus on their payment-to-income ratio, which is a function of the nominal interest rate, not the real interest rate. Central-Bank success at fighting inflation diverts loanable funds for productive investment into housing and other consumer durables.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan Day Haight, 2006. "Monetary Neutrality, Home Mortgages, and the Phillips Curve," Papers of the Annual IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics, in: Oguz Esen & Ayla Ogus (ed.), Proceedings of the Conference on Human and Economic Resources, pages 360-365, Izmir University of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:izm:prcdng:200629
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://eco.ieu.edu.tr/wp-content/proceedings/2006/0629.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David H. Romer, 2000. "Keynesian Macroeconomics without the LM Curve," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 149-169, Spring.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eckhard Hein & Christian Schoder, 2011. "Interest rates, distribution and capital accumulation -- A post-Kaleckian perspective on the US and Germany," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 693-723, November.
    2. Pär Österholm, 2005. "The Taylor Rule: A Spurious Regression?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(3), pages 217-247, July.
    3. Carl E. Walsh, 2002. "Teaching Inflation Targeting: An Analysis for Intermediate Macro," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 333-346, December.
    4. Meixing DAI, 2009. "On the role of money growth targeting under inflation targeting regime," Working Papers of BETA 2009-11, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    5. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2003. "Does the stock of money have any causal significance?," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 56(225), pages 113-136.
    6. Amitava Krishna Dutt & Peter Skott, 2006. "Keynesian Theory and the AD-AS Framework: A Reconsideration," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Quantitative and Empirical Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels, pages 149-172, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    7. Hiermeyer, Martin, 2018. "A Tautologies-Founded IS-LM Model," MPRA Paper 83681, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Milios, John G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Tarnaras, Panayiotis, 2015. "Quantity-of-money fluctuations and economic instability: empirical evidence for the USA (1958–2006)," MPRA Paper 90145, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Eladio Febrero & Maria-Angeles Cadarso, 2006. "Pay-As-You-Go versus funded systems. Some critical considerations," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 335-357.
    10. Pieroni, Luca & d'Agostino, Giorgio & Lorusso, Marco, 2008. "Can we declare military Keynesianism dead?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 675-691.
    11. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Impacts of macroeconomic policies on the Latvian output and policy implications," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 467-471.
    12. Akila Weerapana, 2003. "Intermediate Macroeconomics without the IS-LM Model," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 241-262, January.
    13. Bofinger, Peter & Mayer, Eric & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2002. "The BMW model: Simple macroeconomics for closed and open economies a requiem for the IS/LM-AS/AD and the Mundell-Fleming model," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 35, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    14. Josheski Dushko & Eftimoski Dimitar, 2016. "Application of Is-Mp-Ia Model and Taylor Rule to Cesee Economies," Economics and Culture, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 5-13, June.
    15. Meixing Dai & Moïse Sidiropoulos, 2003. "Règle du taux d’intérêt optimale, prix des actions et taux d’inflation anticip? : une étude de la stabilit? macroéconomique," Bulletin de l'Observatoire des politiques économiques en Europe, Observatoire des Politiques Économiques en Europe (OPEE), vol. 0(4), pages 115-140, December.
    16. Benjamin Azembila Asunka & Zhiqiang Ma & Mingxing Li & Nelson Amowine & Oswin Aganda Anaba & Haoyang Xie & Weijun Hu, 2021. "Analysis of the causal effects of imports and foreign direct investments on indigenous innovation in developing countries," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(5), pages 1315-1335, January.
    17. Josheski, Dushko, 2014. "Keynesian macroeconomics without the LM curve: IS-MP-IA model and Taylor rule applied to some CESEE economies," MPRA Paper 53832, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-380 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Onur Ozsoy, 2008. "Defence Spending And The Macroeconomy: The Case Of Turkey," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 195-208.
    20. Myatt, Anthony & Scarth, William M., 2003. "Is policy perversity consistent with Keynesian business cycles?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 351-365, September.
    21. Thomas I. Palley, 2008. "Macroeconomics without the LM: A Post-Keynesian Perspective," Working Papers wp179, Political Economy Research Institute, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:izm:prcdng:200629. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ayla Ogus Binatli (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deieutr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.